What markets are included in the Atlas vs Monterrey prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atlas vs Monterrey prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atlas vs Monterrey

Atlas vs Monterrey prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Liga MX 2026-08-02 01:00

Atlas

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

BTTS Yes

Pick

Yes

Probability

61%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Monterrey

Away

Prediction Summary

44%

24%

32%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Atlas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.5

Goals conceded / match1.39

Over 2.5 rate22%

BTTS rate56%

Monterrey (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match1.84

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atlas

WLLWD

Monterrey

WLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

72% +0.5 63%

56% +1.5 47%

22% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 5%

56% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atlas averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while Monterrey averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

44%

Draw

24%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Atlas 0 - 0 Monterrey Draw

Jul 2025 Atlas(A) 1 - 3 Monterrey Away

Jan 2025 Atlas 3 - 3 Monterrey Draw

Nov 2024 Atlas(A) 0 - 4 Monterrey Away

Mar 2024 Atlas 1 - 2 Monterrey Away

In the last 5 meetings, Atlas won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Atlas — unbeaten run (home)0

Atlas — scoring streak (home)1

Monterrey — winless run (away)6

Monterrey — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atlas Win (1)44%

Draw (X)24%

Monterrey Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

72% +0.5 63%

56% +1.5 47%

22% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

28% -0.5 37%

44% -1.5 53%

78% -2.5 84%

100% -3.5 89%

100% -4.5 95%

Atlas vs Monterrey — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atlas — scored (home)1.5

Atlas — conceded (home)1.39

Monterrey — scored (away)1.42

Monterrey — conceded (away)1.84

Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%

No39%

Rate per Team

Atlas — BTTS matches (home)56%

Monterrey — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atlas (home)

Corners for3.6

Corners against5.4

Monterrey (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atlas

9 7 7 12 8

Monterrey

10 11 7 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Atlas (home)

For2.6

Monterrey (away)

For2.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%

Under 19.524%

Over 22.563%

Under 22.537%

Over 25.549%

Under 25.551%

Expected total shots26.27

Atlas

Shots Over 9.576%

Shots Over 11.561%

Shots Over 13.546%

Expected shots13.46

On Target Over 3.563%

On Target Over 4.546%

On Target Over 5.532%

Expected on target4.56

Monterrey

Shots Over 9.572%

Shots Over 11.556%

Shots Over 13.541%

Expected shots12.81

On Target Over 3.561%

On Target Over 4.544%

On Target Over 5.529%

Expected on target4.42

Shots per Game

Atlas — total shots (home)11.3

Monterrey — total shots (away)13.1

Shots on Target

Atlas — on target (home)3.7

Monterrey — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atlas

Inside the box6.14

Outside the box4.44

Monterrey

Inside the box8.18

Outside the box6.03

Player Shots Atlas

A. Rodriguez

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target8%

+1.5 On Target8%

D. González

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target15%

A. González

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target13%

U. Đurđević

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target15%

S. Hernández

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Monterrey

U. Đurđević

Shots on Target/Game2.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target25%

A. Martial

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target6%

L. Orellano

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target40%

Sergio Canales

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target29%

G. Berterame

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target83%

+1.5 On Target42%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atlas xG (home)0.98

Monterrey xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

44.92% Possession 55.82%

Team Comparison Atlas vs Monterrey

76.75% Pass accuracy 86.09%

348.64 Passes per match 482.58

-0.31 Goals prevented -0.03

12.81 Fouls committed 11.97

3.28 Goalkeeper saves 2.82

1.8 Offsides 1.35

15.35 Tackles per match 14.38

League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atlas vs Monterrey prediction analysis

Review Atlas vs Monterrey with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga MX.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Liga MX

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights