What markets are included in the Atlas vs Tigres UANL prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atlas vs Tigres UANL prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atlas vs Tigres UANL

Atlas vs Tigres UANL prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Liga MX 2026-08-16 03:00

Atlas

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

BTTS Yes

Pick

Yes

Probability

56%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Tigres UANL

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

25%

35%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Atlas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.5

Goals conceded / match1.39

Over 2.5 rate22%

BTTS rate56%

Tigres UANL (Away)

Goals scored / match1.27

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate9%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atlas

WLLWD

Tigres UANL

LLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

72% +0.5 77%

56% +1.5 32%

22% +2.5 9%

0% +3.5 9%

0% +4.5 0%

56% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atlas averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while Tigres UANL averages 1.27 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

25%

Away Win

35%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Atlas 0 - 0 Tigres UANL Draw

Sep 2025 Atlas(A) 0 - 2 Tigres UANL Away

Feb 2025 Atlas(A) 1 - 2 Tigres UANL Away

Jul 2024 Atlas 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Draw

Feb 2024 Atlas(A) 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Atlas won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Atlas — unbeaten run (home)0

Atlas — scoring streak (home)1

Tigres UANL — winless run (away)7

Tigres UANL — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atlas Win (1)40%

Draw (X)25%

Tigres UANL Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

72% +0.5 77%

56% +1.5 32%

22% +2.5 9%

0% +3.5 9%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

28% -0.5 23%

44% -1.5 68%

78% -2.5 91%

100% -3.5 91%

100% -4.5 100%

Atlas vs Tigres UANL — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atlas — scored (home)1.5

Atlas — conceded (home)1.39

Tigres UANL — scored (away)1.27

Tigres UANL — conceded (away)1.41

Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

Atlas — BTTS matches (home)56%

Tigres UANL — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.539%

Under 10.561%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atlas (home)

Corners for3.6

Corners against5.4

Tigres UANL (away)

Corners for5.1

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atlas

9 7 7 12 8

Tigres UANL

9 7 8 14 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Atlas (home)

For2.6

Tigres UANL (away)

For3.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.577%

Under 19.523%

Over 22.565%

Under 22.535%

Over 25.551%

Under 25.549%

Expected total shots26.73

Atlas

Shots Over 9.578%

Shots Over 11.564%

Shots Over 13.549%

Expected shots13.88

On Target Over 3.563%

On Target Over 4.546%

On Target Over 5.531%

Expected on target4.53

Tigres UANL

Shots Over 9.572%

Shots Over 11.557%

Shots Over 13.541%

Expected shots12.85

On Target Over 3.561%

On Target Over 4.544%

On Target Over 5.530%

Expected on target4.42

Shots per Game

Atlas — total shots (home)11.3

Tigres UANL — total shots (away)13.4

Shots on Target

Atlas — on target (home)3.7

Tigres UANL — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atlas

Inside the box6.14

Outside the box4.44

Tigres UANL

Inside the box9.55

Outside the box5.48

Player Shots Atlas

A. Rodriguez

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target8%

+1.5 On Target8%

D. González

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target15%

A. González

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target13%

U. Đurđević

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target15%

S. Hernández

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Tigres UANL

M. Farfan

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target5%

+1.5 On Target5%

Á. Correa

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target78%

+1.5 On Target41%

J. Brunetta

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target26%

N. Ibáñez

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target12%

O. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atlas xG (home)0.98

Tigres UANL xG (away)1.48

Average Possession

44.92% Possession 54.43%

Team Comparison Atlas vs Tigres UANL

76.75% Pass accuracy 83.34%

348.64 Passes per match 452.86

-0.31 Goals prevented -0.52

12.81 Fouls committed 12.86

3.28 Goalkeeper saves 2.86

1.8 Offsides 1.53

15.35 Tackles per match 14.58

League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atlas vs Tigres UANL prediction analysis

Review Atlas vs Tigres UANL with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga MX.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Liga MX

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights