Prediction Analysis: Atletico Madrid vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Atletico Madrid vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Atletico Madrid
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
73%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Away
Prediction Summary
1
68%
X
17%
2
15%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Atletico Madrid (Home)
Goals scored / match2.75
Goals conceded / match1.38
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate100%
Eintracht Frankfurt (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate75%
Team Form last 5 matches
Atletico Madrid
LDLWL
Eintracht Frankfurt
LLLLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
75%
63%
+1.5
25%
50%
+2.5
0%
38%
+3.5
0%
25%
+4.5
0%
100%
BTTS
75%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 73%. Model confidence is High.
Atletico Madrid averages 2.75 goals scored at home, while Eintracht Frankfurt averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
73%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
68%
Draw
17%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
64%
Head-to-Head last 1
Sep 2025
Atletico Madrid
5 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Home
In the last 1 meetings, Atletico Madrid won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Atletico Madrid — unbeaten run (home)1
Atletico Madrid — scoring streak (home)8
Eintracht Frankfurt — winless run (away)4
Eintracht Frankfurt — clean sheets (away, last 4)1 of 4
1X2 Probability model
Atletico Madrid Win (1)68%
Draw (X)17%
Eintracht Frankfurt Win (2)15%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
75%
63%
+1.5
25%
50%
+2.5
0%
38%
+3.5
0%
25%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
25%
37%
-1.5
75%
50%
-2.5
100%
62%
-3.5
100%
75%
-4.5
100%
Atletico Madrid vs Eintracht Frankfurt — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Atletico Madrid — scored (home)2.75
Atletico Madrid — conceded (home)1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt — scored (away)1
Eintracht Frankfurt — conceded (away)2.5
Model expected combined goals3.81
Both Teams To Score
Yes64%
No36%
Rate per Team
Atletico Madrid — BTTS matches (home)100%
Eintracht Frankfurt — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)87.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.525%
Under 8.575%
Over 9.519%
Under 9.581%
Over 10.513%
Under 10.587%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Atletico Madrid (home)
Corners for5.9
Corners against3.0
Eintracht Frankfurt (away)
Corners for1.5
Corners against5.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Atletico Madrid
14
8
6
7
7
Eintracht Frankfurt
8
11
5
8
5
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Atletico Madrid (home)
For0.8
Eintracht Frankfurt (away)
For1.3
Shots per Game
Atletico Madrid — total shots (home)16.5
Eintracht Frankfurt — total shots (away)6.8
Shots on Target
Atletico Madrid — on target (home)6.6
Eintracht Frankfurt — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Atletico Madrid
Inside the box9.63
Outside the box4.63
Eintracht Frankfurt
Inside the box4.38
Outside the box2.5
Player Shots Atletico Madrid
J. Álvarez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target60%
A. Sørloth
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Lookman
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Griezmann
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
Marcos Llorente
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target7%
Player Shots Eintracht Frankfurt
C. Uzun
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target40%
J. Burkardt
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
F. Chaïbi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Knauff
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Kristensen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid xG (home)1.8
Eintracht Frankfurt xG (away)0.77
Average Possession
49.31%
Possession
39.5%
Team Comparison Atletico Madrid vs Eintracht Frankfurt
84.31%
Pass accuracy
79.5%
475.81
Passes per match
412.13
0
Goals prevented
-0.41
10.94
Fouls committed
9
3.75
Goalkeeper saves
4.63
1.38
Offsides
1.63
18.63
Tackles per match
18
League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Atletico Madrid vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction analysis
Review Atletico Madrid vs Eintracht Frankfurt with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights