What markets are included in the Atletico Madrid vs Inter prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atletico Madrid vs Inter prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atletico Madrid vs Inter

Atletico Madrid vs Inter prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-11-26 20:00

Atletico Madrid

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

69%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Inter

Away

Prediction Summary

43%

22%

35%

Over 2.5

69%

BTTS Yes

69%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Atletico Madrid (Home)

Goals scored / match2.75

Goals conceded / match1.38

Over 2.5 rate50%

BTTS rate100%

Inter (Away)

Goals scored / match2

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atletico Madrid

LDLWL

Inter

LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%

63% +1.5 60%

50% +2.5 20%

38% +3.5 20%

25% +4.5 0%

100% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atletico Madrid averages 2.75 goals scored at home, while Inter averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength

69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

43%

Draw

22%

Away Win

35%

Over 2.5

69%

BTTS Yes

69%

Head-to-Head last 3

Nov 2025 Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Home

Mar 2024 Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Home

Feb 2024 Atletico Madrid(A) 0 - 1 Inter Away

In the last 3 meetings, Atletico Madrid won 2, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Atletico Madrid — unbeaten run (home)1

Atletico Madrid — scoring streak (home)8

Inter — winless run (away)1

Inter — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atletico Madrid Win (1)43%

Draw (X)22%

Inter Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%

63% +1.5 60%

50% +2.5 20%

38% +3.5 20%

25% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%

37% -1.5 40%

50% -2.5 80%

62% -3.5 80%

75% -4.5 100%

Atletico Madrid vs Inter — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atletico Madrid — scored (home)2.75

Atletico Madrid — conceded (home)1.38

Inter — scored (away)2

Inter — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals3.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%

No31%

Rate per Team

Atletico Madrid — BTTS matches (home)100%

Inter — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)70%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.578%

Under 6.522%

Over 7.555%

Under 7.545%

Over 8.535%

Under 8.565%

Over 9.529%

Under 9.571%

Over 10.523%

Under 10.577%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atletico Madrid (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against3.0

Inter (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atletico Madrid

14 8 6 7 7

Inter

9 11 8 6 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.572%

Under 1.528%

Over 2.545%

Under 2.555%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Atletico Madrid (home)

For0.8

Inter (away)

For1.4

Shots per Game

Atletico Madrid — total shots (home)16.5

Inter — total shots (away)15.8

Shots on Target

Atletico Madrid — on target (home)6.6

Inter — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atletico Madrid

Inside the box9.63

Outside the box4.63

Inter

Inside the box13.8

Outside the box4.2

Player Shots Atletico Madrid

J. Álvarez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target60%

A. Sørloth

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

A. Lookman

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Griezmann

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target20%

Marcos Llorente

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Inter

Lautaro Martínez

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target38%

F. Dimarco

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target44%

M. Thuram

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

D. Frattesi

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

F. Esposito

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico Madrid xG (home)1.8

Inter xG (away)2.02

Average Possession

49.31% Possession 57.3%

Team Comparison Atletico Madrid vs Inter

84.31% Pass accuracy 86.8%

475.81 Passes per match 544.2

0 Goals prevented 0.44

10.94 Fouls committed 10.7

3.75 Goalkeeper saves 2.8

1.38 Offsides 1.78

18.63 Tackles per match 16.9

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atletico Madrid vs Inter prediction analysis

Review Atletico Madrid vs Inter with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights