What markets are included in the Atletico Madrid vs Lille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atletico Madrid vs Lille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atletico Madrid vs Lille

Atletico Madrid vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-10-23 19:00

Atletico Madrid

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Lille

Away

Prediction Summary

56%

24%

20%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Atletico Madrid (Home)

Goals scored / match1.8

Goals conceded / match1.2

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate80%

Lille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29

Goals conceded / match1.43

Over 2.5 rate14%

BTTS rate86%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atletico Madrid

WLWWW

Lille

LDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 86%

60% +1.5 29%

20% +2.5 14%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

80% BTTS 86%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atletico Madrid averages 1.8 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

56%

Draw

24%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 Atletico Madrid 1 - 3 Lille Away

In the last 1 meetings, Atletico Madrid won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Atletico Madrid — unbeaten run (home)3

Atletico Madrid — scoring streak (home)5

Lille — winless run (away)2

Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atletico Madrid Win (1)56%

Draw (X)24%

Lille Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 86%

60% +1.5 29%

20% +2.5 14%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 14%

40% -1.5 71%

80% -2.5 86%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Atletico Madrid vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atletico Madrid — scored (home)1.8

Atletico Madrid — conceded (home)1.2

Lille — scored (away)1.29

Lille — conceded (away)1.43

Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Atletico Madrid — BTTS matches (home)80%

Lille — BTTS matches (away)86%

Combined (simple average)83%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.586%

Under 5.514%

Over 6.572%

Under 6.528%

Over 7.555%

Under 7.545%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.555%

Under 9.545%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atletico Madrid (home)

Corners for7.2

Corners against4.4

Lille (away)

Corners for2.9

Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atletico Madrid

10 7 9 9 20

Lille

11 6 12 6 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.590%

Under 0.510%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.583%

Under 2.517%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Atletico Madrid (home)

For3.0

Lille (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Atletico Madrid — total shots (home)14.6

Lille — total shots (away)9.1

Shots on Target

Atletico Madrid — on target (home)5.2

Lille — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atletico Madrid

Inside the box8.4

Outside the box3.9

Lille

Inside the box6.57

Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Atletico Madrid

J. Álvarez

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target40%

A. Griezmann

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target20%

Á. Correa

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

Marcos Llorente

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Sørloth

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Lille

M. Bakker

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Mukau

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

E. Zhegrova

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. David

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target29%

A. Gomes

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico Madrid xG (home)1.43

Lille xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

47.6% Possession 50.79%

Team Comparison Atletico Madrid vs Lille

84.8% Pass accuracy 82.64%

530.4 Passes per match 473.07

0.09 Goals prevented -0.08

10.2 Fouls committed 11.43

3.2 Goalkeeper saves 3.92

1.33 Offsides 1.29

19.5 Tackles per match 14.64

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atletico Madrid vs Lille prediction analysis

Review Atletico Madrid vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights