What markets are included in the Atletico Madrid vs Oviedo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atletico Madrid vs Oviedo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atletico Madrid vs Oviedo

Atletico Madrid vs Oviedo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-11-29 20:00

Atletico Madrid

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

57%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-0

Oviedo

Away

Prediction Summary

67%

19%

14%

Over 2.5

57%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Atletico Madrid (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate47%

Oviedo (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match2.21

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atletico Madrid

LWWLW

Oviedo

LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 42%

58% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 16%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atletico Madrid averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while Oviedo averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength

67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

67%

Draw

19%

Away Win

14%

Over 2.5

57%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 3

Feb 2026 Atletico Madrid(A) 1 - 0 Oviedo Home

Nov 2025 Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Oviedo Home

Jan 2023 Atletico Madrid(A) 2 - 0 Oviedo Home

In the last 3 meetings, Atletico Madrid won 3, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Atletico Madrid — unbeaten run (home)1

Atletico Madrid — scoring streak (home)1

Oviedo — winless run (away)3

Oviedo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atletico Madrid Win (1)67%

Draw (X)19%

Oviedo Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 42%

58% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 16%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 58%

42% -1.5 68%

58% -2.5 84%

89% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Atletico Madrid vs Oviedo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atletico Madrid — scored (home)2.05

Atletico Madrid — conceded (home)0.89

Oviedo — scored (away)0.89

Oviedo — conceded (away)2.21

Model expected combined goals2.96

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Atletico Madrid — BTTS matches (home)47%

Oviedo — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.584%

Under 7.516%

Over 8.576%

Under 8.524%

Over 9.555%

Under 9.545%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atletico Madrid (home)

Corners for7.8

Corners against3.8

Oviedo (away)

Corners for3.3

Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atletico Madrid

8 10 12 17 14

Oviedo

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%

Under 0.58%

Over 1.584%

Under 1.516%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Atletico Madrid (home)

For2.0

Oviedo (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Atletico Madrid — total shots (home)15.4

Oviedo — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Atletico Madrid — on target (home)6.3

Oviedo — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atletico Madrid

Inside the box9.13

Outside the box3.97

Oviedo

Inside the box6.37

Outside the box3.55

Player Shots Atletico Madrid

A. Sørloth

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target31%

J. Álvarez

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target24%

N. González

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target29%

A. Griezmann

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target15%

G. Simeone

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Oviedo

I. Chaira

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target31%

F. Viñas

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target18%

S. Rondón

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target0%

T. Fernández

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target0%

Alberto Reina

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico Madrid xG (home)1.55

Oviedo xG (away)0.95

Average Possession

53.32% Possession 46.03%

Team Comparison Atletico Madrid vs Oviedo

84.95% Pass accuracy 80.89%

505.37 Passes per match 390.76

0.13 Goals prevented 0.03

11.18 Fouls committed 12.47

2.55 Goalkeeper saves 4.11

2.19 Offsides 2.23

17.03 Tackles per match 17.79

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atletico Madrid vs Oviedo prediction analysis

Review Atletico Madrid vs Oviedo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights