Prediction Analysis: Atletico Madrid vs Slovan Bratislava
Atletico Madrid vs Slovan Bratislava prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Atletico Madrid
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Slovan Bratislava
Away
Prediction Summary
1
54%
X
24%
2
22%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Atletico Madrid (Home)
Goals scored / match1.8
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate80%
Slovan Bratislava (Away)
Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate75%
Team Form last 5 matches
Atletico Madrid
WLWWW
Slovan Bratislava
LLLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
75%
60%
+1.5
13%
20%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
80%
BTTS
75%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.
Atletico Madrid averages 1.8 goals scored at home, while Slovan Bratislava averages 0.88 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
54%
Draw
24%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
Head-to-Head last 1
Dec 2024
Atletico Madrid
3 - 1
Slovan Bratislava
Home
In the last 1 meetings, Atletico Madrid won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Atletico Madrid — unbeaten run (home)3
Atletico Madrid — scoring streak (home)5
Slovan Bratislava — winless run (away)7
Slovan Bratislava — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Atletico Madrid Win (1)54%
Draw (X)24%
Slovan Bratislava Win (2)22%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
75%
60%
+1.5
13%
20%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
25%
40%
-1.5
87%
80%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Atletico Madrid vs Slovan Bratislava — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Atletico Madrid — scored (home)1.8
Atletico Madrid — conceded (home)1.2
Slovan Bratislava — scored (away)0.88
Slovan Bratislava — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.75
Both Teams To Score
Yes53%
No47%
Rate per Team
Atletico Madrid — BTTS matches (home)80%
Slovan Bratislava — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)77.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.590%
Under 7.510%
Over 8.590%
Under 8.510%
Over 9.590%
Under 9.510%
Over 10.560%
Under 10.540%
Expected total corners (blended average)12.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Atletico Madrid (home)
Corners for7.2
Corners against4.4
Slovan Bratislava (away)
Corners for3.4
Corners against9.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Atletico Madrid
10
7
9
9
20
Slovan Bratislava
14
12
10
23
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.580%
Under 0.520%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
Atletico Madrid (home)
For3.0
Slovan Bratislava (away)
For2.5
Shots per Game
Atletico Madrid — total shots (home)14.6
Slovan Bratislava — total shots (away)7.8
Shots on Target
Atletico Madrid — on target (home)5.2
Slovan Bratislava — on target (away)3.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Atletico Madrid
Inside the box8.4
Outside the box3.9
Slovan Bratislava
Inside the box5.5
Outside the box3.3
Player Shots Atletico Madrid
J. Álvarez
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
A. Griezmann
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Á. Correa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Marcos Llorente
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Sørloth
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots Slovan Bratislava
M. Tolić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Strelec
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
T. Barseghyan
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target10%
N. Marcelli
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target0%
G. Kashia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid xG (home)1.43
Slovan Bratislava xG (away)0.78
Average Possession
47.6%
Possession
39%
Team Comparison Atletico Madrid vs Slovan Bratislava
84.8%
Pass accuracy
76.6%
530.4
Passes per match
357.6
0.09
Goals prevented
-0.22
10.2
Fouls committed
8.8
3.2
Goalkeeper saves
4.8
1.33
Offsides
1.5
19.5
Tackles per match
17.6
League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Atletico Madrid vs Slovan Bratislava prediction analysis
Review Atletico Madrid vs Slovan Bratislava with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights