What markets are included in the Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid

Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-04-14 19:00

Atletico Madrid

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

61%

Confidence

High

Score

2-0

Valladolid

Away

Prediction Summary

73%

17%

10%

Over 2.5

61%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Atletico Madrid (Home)

Goals scored / match2.21

Goals conceded / match0.79

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate47%

Valladolid (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79

Goals conceded / match3.05

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atletico Madrid

WWLWD

Valladolid

LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 63%

63% +1.5 11%

42% +2.5 5%

21% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is High.

Atletico Madrid averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while Valladolid averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength

73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

73%

Draw

17%

Away Win

10%

Over 2.5

61%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Atletico Madrid 4 - 2 Valladolid Home

Nov 2024 Atletico Madrid(A) 5 - 0 Valladolid Home

Apr 2023 Atletico Madrid(A) 5 - 2 Valladolid Home

Jan 2023 Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Valladolid Home

May 2021 Atletico Madrid(A) 2 - 1 Valladolid Home

In the last 5 meetings, Atletico Madrid won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Atletico Madrid — unbeaten run (home)4

Atletico Madrid — scoring streak (home)17

Valladolid — winless run (away)14

Valladolid — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atletico Madrid Win (1)73%

Draw (X)17%

Valladolid Win (2)10%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 63%

63% +1.5 11%

42% +2.5 5%

21% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 37%

37% -1.5 89%

58% -2.5 95%

79% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atletico Madrid — scored (home)2.21

Atletico Madrid — conceded (home)0.79

Valladolid — scored (away)0.79

Valladolid — conceded (away)3.05

Model expected combined goals3.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Atletico Madrid — BTTS matches (home)47%

Valladolid — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atletico Madrid (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against3.4

Valladolid (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atletico Madrid

8 6 8 11 9

Valladolid

12 15 10 14 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Atletico Madrid (home)

For1.9

Valladolid (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Atletico Madrid — total shots (home)14.6

Valladolid — total shots (away)8.1

Shots on Target

Atletico Madrid — on target (home)5.9

Valladolid — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atletico Madrid

Inside the box8.45

Outside the box3.89

Valladolid

Inside the box5.66

Outside the box3.18

Player Shots Atletico Madrid

A. Sørloth

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target66%

+1.5 On Target26%

J. Álvarez

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target24%

Robin Le Normand

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target4%

A. Griezmann

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

C. Gallagher

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Valladolid

Juanmi Latasa

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target11%

Chuky San José

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target11%

S. Amallah

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target8%

Mario Martín

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target10%

Kike Pérez

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico Madrid xG (home)1.73

Valladolid xG (away)0.91

Average Possession

52.53% Possession 42.63%

Team Comparison Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid

84.61% Pass accuracy 79.47%

518.08 Passes per match 364.5

0.02 Goals prevented -0.4

10.84 Fouls committed 12.05

2.32 Goalkeeper saves 3.05

2.12 Offsides 1.76

16.29 Tackles per match 15.89

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid prediction analysis

Review Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights