Prediction Analysis: Atletico-MG vs Internacional
Atletico-MG vs Internacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2025-06-13
00:30
Atletico-MG
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Internacional
Away
Prediction Summary
1
54%
X
26%
2
20%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Atletico-MG (Home)
Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%
Internacional (Away)
Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Atletico-MG
WLLDL
Internacional
WLLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
79%
+0.5
63%
42%
+1.5
21%
26%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.
Atletico-MG averages 1.58 goals scored at home, while Internacional averages 0.89 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
54%
Draw
26%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
Head-to-Head last 5
Nov 2025
Atletico-MG(A)
0 - 0
Internacional
Draw
Jun 2025
Atletico-MG
2 - 0
Internacional
Home
Oct 2024
Atletico-MG
1 - 3
Internacional
Away
Jun 2024
Atletico-MG(A)
2 - 1
Internacional
Home
Oct 2023
Atletico-MG(A)
2 - 0
Internacional
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Atletico-MG won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Atletico-MG — unbeaten run (home)1
Atletico-MG — scoring streak (home)1
Internacional — winless run (away)2
Internacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Atletico-MG Win (1)54%
Draw (X)26%
Internacional Win (2)20%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
79%
+0.5
63%
42%
+1.5
21%
26%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
21%
-0.5
37%
58%
-1.5
79%
74%
-2.5
95%
95%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Atletico-MG vs Internacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Atletico-MG — scored (home)1.58
Atletico-MG — conceded (home)0.95
Internacional — scored (away)0.89
Internacional — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals2.33
Both Teams To Score
Yes44%
No56%
Rate per Team
Atletico-MG — BTTS matches (home)47%
Internacional — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Atletico-MG (home)
Corners for7.0
Corners against3.8
Internacional (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Atletico-MG
10
6
11
16
7
Internacional
8
5
7
13
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Atletico-MG (home)
For2.6
Internacional (away)
For2.3
Shots per Game
Atletico-MG — total shots (home)17.6
Internacional — total shots (away)10.4
Shots on Target
Atletico-MG — on target (home)5.4
Internacional — on target (away)3.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Atletico-MG
Inside the box8.32
Outside the box6.76
Internacional
Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5
Player Shots Atletico-MG
Rony
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target29%
Hulk
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
T. Cuello
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
João Marcelo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Guilherme Arana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%
Player Shots Internacional
J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG xG (home)1.09
Internacional xG (away)1.4
Average Possession
54.16%
Possession
51.08%
Team Comparison Atletico-MG vs Internacional
83.87%
Pass accuracy
82.63%
451.13
Passes per match
429.03
0.03
Goals prevented
-0.13
13.24
Fouls committed
14.89
2.92
Goalkeeper saves
2.61
1.83
Offsides
1.78
15.45
Tackles per match
18.39
League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Atletico-MG vs Internacional prediction analysis
Review Atletico-MG vs Internacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights