What markets are included in the Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras

Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-04 00:30

Atletico-MG

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Palmeiras

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

27%

32%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Atletico-MG (Home)

Goals scored / match1.58

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate47%

Palmeiras (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atletico-MG

WLLDL

Palmeiras

WWLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 89%

42% +1.5 58%

26% +2.5 16%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Atletico-MG averages 1.58 goals scored at home, while Palmeiras averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

27%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Atletico-MG 0 - 3 Palmeiras Away

Jul 2025 Atletico-MG(A) 2 - 3 Palmeiras Away

Sep 2024 Atletico-MG(A) 1 - 2 Palmeiras Away

Jun 2024 Atletico-MG 0 - 4 Palmeiras Away

Oct 2023 Atletico-MG(A) 2 - 0 Palmeiras Home

In the last 5 meetings, Atletico-MG won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Atletico-MG — unbeaten run (home)1

Atletico-MG — scoring streak (home)1

Palmeiras — winless run (away)0

Palmeiras — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atletico-MG Win (1)41%

Draw (X)27%

Palmeiras Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 89%

42% +1.5 58%

26% +2.5 16%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 11%

58% -1.5 42%

74% -2.5 84%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atletico-MG — scored (home)1.58

Atletico-MG — conceded (home)0.95

Palmeiras — scored (away)1.63

Palmeiras — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Atletico-MG — BTTS matches (home)47%

Palmeiras — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.547%

Under 10.553%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atletico-MG (home)

Corners for7.0

Corners against3.8

Palmeiras (away)

Corners for6.0

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atletico-MG

10 6 11 16 7

Palmeiras

9 13 8 16 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Atletico-MG (home)

For2.6

Palmeiras (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Atletico-MG — total shots (home)17.6

Palmeiras — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Atletico-MG — on target (home)5.4

Palmeiras — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atletico-MG

Inside the box8.32

Outside the box6.76

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79

Outside the box6.61

Player Shots Atletico-MG

Rony

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target29%

Hulk

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Cuello

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

João Marcelo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Guilherme Arana

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

J. López

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target30%

F. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

Luighi Hanri

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Andreas Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico-MG xG (home)1.09

Palmeiras xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

54.16% Possession 52.34%

Team Comparison Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras

83.87% Pass accuracy 82.21%

451.13 Passes per match 406.61

0.03 Goals prevented 0.13

13.24 Fouls committed 14.61

2.92 Goalkeeper saves 2.95

1.83 Offsides 1.79

15.45 Tackles per match 16.89

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras prediction analysis

Review Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights