Prediction Analysis: Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali
Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-03-10
00:45
Atletico Nacional
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
America de Cali
Away
Prediction Summary
1
52%
X
26%
2
22%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Atletico Nacional (Home)
Goals scored / match2.04
Goals conceded / match0.88
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate56%
America de Cali (Away)
Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match0.96
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate35%
Team Form last 5 matches
Atletico Nacional
LWLDD
America de Cali
WLDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
92%
+0.5
62%
60%
+1.5
19%
32%
+2.5
4%
16%
+3.5
4%
4%
+4.5
0%
56%
BTTS
35%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.
Atletico Nacional averages 2.04 goals scored at home, while America de Cali averages 0.88 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
52%
Draw
26%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
Head-to-Head last 4
Dec 2025
Atletico Nacional(A)
2 - 3
America de Cali
Away
Nov 2025
Atletico Nacional
1 - 0
America de Cali
Home
Aug 2025
Atletico Nacional(A)
1 - 1
America de Cali
Draw
Mar 2025
Atletico Nacional
1 - 0
America de Cali
Home
In the last 4 meetings, Atletico Nacional won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Atletico Nacional — unbeaten run (home)12
Atletico Nacional — scoring streak (home)12
America de Cali — winless run (away)4
America de Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Atletico Nacional Win (1)52%
Draw (X)26%
America de Cali Win (2)22%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
92%
+0.5
62%
60%
+1.5
19%
32%
+2.5
4%
16%
+3.5
4%
4%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
8%
-0.5
38%
40%
-1.5
81%
68%
-2.5
96%
84%
-3.5
96%
96%
-4.5
100%
Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Atletico Nacional — scored (home)2.04
Atletico Nacional — conceded (home)0.88
America de Cali — scored (away)0.88
America de Cali — conceded (away)0.96
Model expected combined goals2.38
Both Teams To Score
Yes46%
No54%
Rate per Team
Atletico Nacional — BTTS matches (home)56%
America de Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)45.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Atletico Nacional (home)
Corners for6.2
Corners against3.8
America de Cali (away)
Corners for4.0
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Atletico Nacional
12
8
9
3
9
America de Cali
7
7
4
6
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6
Yellow Cards per Team
Atletico Nacional (home)
For2.6
America de Cali (away)
For2.7
Shots per Game
Atletico Nacional — total shots (home)17.8
America de Cali — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
Atletico Nacional — on target (home)6.3
America de Cali — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Atletico Nacional
Inside the box8.73
Outside the box7.02
America de Cali
Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38
Player Shots Atletico Nacional
A. Morelos
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Viveros
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
E. Cardona
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target15%
J. Rengifo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Sarmiento
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots America de Cali
D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Nacional xG (home)1.17
America de Cali xG (away)0.87
Average Possession
56.51%
Possession
52.4%
Team Comparison Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali
83.69%
Pass accuracy
81.27%
411.63
Passes per match
393.67
0
Goals prevented
0
11.51
Fouls committed
12.02
2.59
Goalkeeper saves
3
1.7
Offsides
1.86
10.58
Tackles per match
12.15
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali prediction analysis
Review Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights