What markets are included in the Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto

Q: How is the Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Primera A 2025-04-30 00:30

Atletico Nacional

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Deportivo Pasto

Away

Prediction Summary

65%

23%

12%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

64%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Atletico Nacional (Home)

Goals scored / match2.04

Goals conceded / match0.88

Over 2.5 rate32%

BTTS rate56%

Deportivo Pasto (Away)

Goals scored / match0.55

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atletico Nacional

LWLDD

Deportivo Pasto

WLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

92% +0.5 45%

60% +1.5 10%

32% +2.5 0%

16% +3.5 0%

4% +4.5 0%

56% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atletico Nacional averages 2.04 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Pasto averages 0.55 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

65%

Draw

23%

Away Win

12%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

36%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Atletico Nacional(A) 2 - 2 Deportivo Pasto Draw

Apr 2025 Atletico Nacional 3 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Home

In the last 2 meetings, Atletico Nacional won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Atletico Nacional — unbeaten run (home)12

Atletico Nacional — scoring streak (home)12

Deportivo Pasto — winless run (away)17

Deportivo Pasto — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atletico Nacional Win (1)65%

Draw (X)23%

Deportivo Pasto Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

92% +0.5 45%

60% +1.5 10%

32% +2.5 0%

16% +3.5 0%

4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

8% -0.5 55%

40% -1.5 90%

68% -2.5 100%

84% -3.5 100%

96% -4.5 100%

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atletico Nacional — scored (home)2.04

Atletico Nacional — conceded (home)0.88

Deportivo Pasto — scored (away)0.55

Deportivo Pasto — conceded (away)1.35

Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%

No64%

Rate per Team

Atletico Nacional — BTTS matches (home)56%

Deportivo Pasto — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)48%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%

Under 4.54%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.564%

Under 8.536%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atletico Nacional (home)

Corners for6.2

Corners against3.8

Deportivo Pasto (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atletico Nacional

12 8 9 3 9

Deportivo Pasto

7 16 11 5 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.594%

Under 2.56%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Atletico Nacional (home)

For2.6

Deportivo Pasto (away)

For3.7

Shots per Game

Atletico Nacional — total shots (home)17.8

Deportivo Pasto — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Atletico Nacional — on target (home)6.3

Deportivo Pasto — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atletico Nacional

Inside the box8.73

Outside the box7.02

Deportivo Pasto

Inside the box5.88

Outside the box5.6

Player Shots Atletico Nacional

A. Morelos

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target27%

K. Viveros

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

E. Cardona

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target15%

J. Rengifo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target15%

A. Sarmiento

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Deportivo Pasto

Y. Valois

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target56%

F. Boné

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target11%

D. Camacho

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

J. Rivas

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico Nacional xG (home)1.17

Deportivo Pasto xG (away)0.98

Average Possession

56.51% Possession 43.55%

Team Comparison Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto

83.69% Pass accuracy 78.88%

411.63 Passes per match 317.15

0 Goals prevented 0

11.51 Fouls committed 13.58

2.59 Goalkeeper saves 2.55

1.7 Offsides 1.58

10.58 Tackles per match 12.18

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto prediction analysis

Review Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights