Prediction Analysis: Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Canadian Premier League
2026-08-08
17:00
Atlético Ottawa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
HFX Wanderers FC
Away
Prediction Summary
1
51%
X
24%
2
25%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Atlético Ottawa (Home)
Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate59%
HFX Wanderers FC (Away)
Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%
Team Form last 5 matches
Atlético Ottawa
DLWWW
HFX Wanderers FC
LDWLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
100%
65%
+1.5
50%
35%
+2.5
0%
6%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
59%
BTTS
100%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.
Atlético Ottawa averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while HFX Wanderers FC averages 1.5 goals scored away.
Model Strength
55%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
51%
Draw
24%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jul 2026
Atlético Ottawa(A)
3 - 1
HFX Wanderers FC
Home
Oct 2025
Atlético Ottawa(A)
1 - 0
HFX Wanderers FC
Home
Jul 2025
Atlético Ottawa
2 - 0
HFX Wanderers FC
Home
May 2025
Atlético Ottawa(A)
0 - 2
HFX Wanderers FC
Away
Apr 2025
Atlético Ottawa
2 - 2
HFX Wanderers FC
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Atlético Ottawa won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Atlético Ottawa — unbeaten run (home)1
Atlético Ottawa — scoring streak (home)1
HFX Wanderers FC — winless run (away)1
HFX Wanderers FC — clean sheets (away, last 2)0 of 2
1X2 Probability model
Atlético Ottawa Win (1)51%
Draw (X)24%
HFX Wanderers FC Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
100%
65%
+1.5
50%
35%
+2.5
0%
6%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
0%
35%
-1.5
50%
65%
-2.5
100%
94%
-3.5
100%
94%
-4.5
100%
Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Atlético Ottawa — scored (home)1.94
Atlético Ottawa — conceded (home)1
HFX Wanderers FC — scored (away)1.5
HFX Wanderers FC — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.81
Both Teams To Score
Yes55%
No45%
Rate per Team
Atlético Ottawa — BTTS matches (home)59%
HFX Wanderers FC — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)79.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Atlético Ottawa (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against4.7
HFX Wanderers FC (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Atlético Ottawa
8
6
8
10
8
HFX Wanderers FC
8
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.525%
Under 2.575%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Atlético Ottawa (home)
For1.0
HFX Wanderers FC (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.552%
Under 22.548%
Over 25.536%
Under 25.564%
Expected total shots23.47
Atlético Ottawa
Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.537%
Expected shots12.30
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.41
HFX Wanderers FC
Shots Over 9.563%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.527%
Expected shots11.17
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.530%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.64
Shots per Game
Atlético Ottawa — total shots (home)14.3
HFX Wanderers FC — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Atlético Ottawa — on target (home)4.7
HFX Wanderers FC — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Atlético Ottawa
Inside the box9.4
Outside the box4.6
HFX Wanderers FC
Inside the box7
Outside the box7
Player Shots Atlético Ottawa
S. Salter
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
B. Tabla
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target43%
D. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Sissoko
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Levis
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots HFX Wanderers FC
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlético Ottawa xG (home)0
HFX Wanderers FC xG (away)0
Average Possession
56%
Possession
56.5%
Team Comparison Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC
85.6%
Pass accuracy
88%
520
Passes per match
568
0
Goals prevented
0
11.6
Fouls committed
4
1.2
Goalkeeper saves
1
0.4
Offsides
1
15.29
Tackles per match
11
League average xG this season is 1.61 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC prediction analysis
Review Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Canadian Premier League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Canadian Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights