Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC

Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Canadian Premier League 2026-07-26 18:00
Atlético Ottawa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Atlético Ottawa
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Pacific FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
68%
X
19%
2
14%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Atlético Ottawa (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate59%

Pacific FC (Away)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match2.53
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atlético Ottawa
DLWWW
Pacific FC
LLLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 53%
65% +1.5 20%
35% +2.5 7%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atlético Ottawa averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Pacific FC averages 0.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
68%
Draw
19%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Atlético Ottawa 2 - 0 Pacific FC Home
Jul 2025 Atlético Ottawa(A) 2 - 0 Pacific FC Home
Jun 2025 Atlético Ottawa(A) 1 - 0 Pacific FC Home
May 2025 Atlético Ottawa 3 - 1 Pacific FC Home
Sep 2024 Atlético Ottawa 1 - 1 Pacific FC Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Atlético Ottawa won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Atlético Ottawa — unbeaten run (home)1
Atlético Ottawa — scoring streak (home)1
Pacific FC — winless run (away)7
Pacific FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atlético Ottawa Win (1)68%
Draw (X)19%
Pacific FC Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 53%
65% +1.5 20%
35% +2.5 7%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 47%
35% -1.5 80%
65% -2.5 93%
94% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atlético Ottawa — scored (home)1.94
Atlético Ottawa — conceded (home)1
Pacific FC — scored (away)0.8
Pacific FC — conceded (away)2.53
Model expected combined goals3.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Atlético Ottawa — BTTS matches (home)59%
Pacific FC — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atlético Ottawa (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.7

Pacific FC (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atlético Ottawa
8 6 8 10 8
Pacific FC
14 7 8 10 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.584%
Under 0.516%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Atlético Ottawa (home)

For1.0

Pacific FC (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.567%
Under 19.533%
Over 22.550%
Under 22.550%
Over 25.534%
Under 25.566%
Expected total shots23.03

Atlético Ottawa

Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.553%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.27
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.37

Pacific FC

Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.540%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots10.76
On Target Over 3.547%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.53

Shots per Game

Atlético Ottawa — total shots (home)14.3
Pacific FC — total shots (away)8.0

Shots on Target

Atlético Ottawa — on target (home)4.7
Pacific FC — on target (away)2.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atlético Ottawa

Inside the box9.4
Outside the box4.6

Pacific FC

Inside the box7.25
Outside the box3

Player Shots Atlético Ottawa

S. Salter
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
B. Tabla
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target43%
D. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Sissoko
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Levis
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Pacific FC

Yann Régis Toualy
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
D. Zanatta
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Ndom
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
S. Young
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Sami Keshavarz
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atlético Ottawa xG (home)0
Pacific FC xG (away)0

Average Possession

56% Possession 46.5%

Team Comparison Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC

85.6% Pass accuracy 80%
520 Passes per match 388
0 Goals prevented 0
11.6 Fouls committed 13
1.2 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
0.4 Offsides 2
15.29 Tackles per match 15.8

League average xG this season is 1.61 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC prediction analysis

Review Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Canadian Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Canadian Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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