Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC

Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Canadian Premier League 2026-08-19 23:00
Atlético Ottawa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Vancouver FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
22%
2
25%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Atlético Ottawa (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate59%

Vancouver FC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atlético Ottawa
DLWWW
Vancouver FC
WWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 75%
65% +1.5 38%
35% +2.5 25%
6% +3.5 19%
6% +4.5 6%
59% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atlético Ottawa averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Vancouver FC averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
22%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Atlético Ottawa 0 - 0 Vancouver FC Draw
Sep 2025 Atlético Ottawa 1 - 0 Vancouver FC Home
Aug 2025 Atlético Ottawa 3 - 1 Vancouver FC Home
Aug 2025 Atlético Ottawa(A) 1 - 3 Vancouver FC Away
May 2025 Atlético Ottawa(A) 2 - 2 Vancouver FC Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Atlético Ottawa won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Atlético Ottawa — unbeaten run (home)1
Atlético Ottawa — scoring streak (home)1
Vancouver FC — winless run (away)0
Vancouver FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atlético Ottawa Win (1)53%
Draw (X)22%
Vancouver FC Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 75%
65% +1.5 38%
35% +2.5 25%
6% +3.5 19%
6% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 25%
35% -1.5 62%
65% -2.5 75%
94% -3.5 81%
94% -4.5 94%

Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atlético Ottawa — scored (home)1.94
Atlético Ottawa — conceded (home)1
Vancouver FC — scored (away)1.63
Vancouver FC — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.28

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

Atlético Ottawa — BTTS matches (home)59%
Vancouver FC — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)67%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atlético Ottawa (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.7

Vancouver FC (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atlético Ottawa
8 6 8 10 8
Vancouver FC
14 5 9 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.567%
Under 2.533%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Atlético Ottawa (home)

For1.0

Vancouver FC (away)

For3.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.568%
Under 19.532%
Over 22.552%
Under 22.548%
Over 25.536%
Under 25.564%
Expected total shots23.41

Atlético Ottawa

Shots Over 9.575%
Shots Over 11.558%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.77
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.62

Vancouver FC

Shots Over 9.558%
Shots Over 11.538%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.64
On Target Over 3.547%
On Target Over 4.529%
On Target Over 5.516%
Expected on target3.56

Shots per Game

Atlético Ottawa — total shots (home)14.3
Vancouver FC — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Atlético Ottawa — on target (home)4.7
Vancouver FC — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atlético Ottawa

Inside the box9.4
Outside the box4.6

Vancouver FC

Inside the box7
Outside the box4

Player Shots Atlético Ottawa

S. Salter
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
B. Tabla
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target43%
D. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Sissoko
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Levis
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Vancouver FC

T. Campbell
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Bah
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
N. Mezquida
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Campagna
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target0%
V. Fry
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atlético Ottawa xG (home)0
Vancouver FC xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

56% Possession 45.17%

Team Comparison Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC

85.6% Pass accuracy 77.67%
520 Passes per match 376.5
0 Goals prevented 0
11.6 Fouls committed 11.17
1.2 Goalkeeper saves 4.33
0.4 Offsides 1.17
15.29 Tackles per match 22

League average xG this season is 1.61 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC prediction analysis

Review Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Canadian Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Canadian Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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