Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Atlético Ottawa vs York United

Atlético Ottawa vs York United prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Canadian Premier League 2026-08-28 23:00
Atlético Ottawa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
York United
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
24%
2
37%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Atlético Ottawa (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate39%
BTTS rate61%

York United (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.78
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atlético Ottawa
WDLWW
York United
LDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 72%
67% +1.5 22%
39% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
61% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atlético Ottawa averages 2 goals scored at home, while York United averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
24%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Atlético Ottawa 1 - 1 York United Draw
Sep 2025 Atlético Ottawa(A) 2 - 2 York United Draw
Aug 2025 Atlético Ottawa 0 - 0 York United Draw
Jul 2025 Atlético Ottawa(A) 4 - 3 York United Home
Jun 2025 Atlético Ottawa(A) 0 - 0 York United Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Atlético Ottawa won 1, drew 4 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Atlético Ottawa — unbeaten run (home)2
Atlético Ottawa — scoring streak (home)2
York United — winless run (away)10
York United — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atlético Ottawa Win (1)39%
Draw (X)24%
York United Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 72%
67% +1.5 22%
39% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 28%
33% -1.5 78%
61% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Atlético Ottawa vs York United — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atlético Ottawa — scored (home)2
Atlético Ottawa — conceded (home)1.06
York United — scored (away)1
York United — conceded (away)1.78
Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Atlético Ottawa — BTTS matches (home)61%
York United — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)61%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atlético Ottawa (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.7

York United (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atlético Ottawa
8 6 8 10 8
York United
7 8 10 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Atlético Ottawa (home)

For1.0

York United (away)

For4.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.552%
Under 22.548%
Over 25.536%
Under 25.564%
Expected total shots23.44

Atlético Ottawa

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.556%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.54
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.62

York United

Shots Over 9.560%
Shots Over 11.541%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.90
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.71

Shots per Game

Atlético Ottawa — total shots (home)14.3
York United — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

Atlético Ottawa — on target (home)4.7
York United — on target (away)6.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atlético Ottawa

Inside the box9.4
Outside the box4.6

York United

Inside the box7.75
Outside the box6

Player Shots Atlético Ottawa

S. Salter
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
B. Tabla
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target43%
D. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
B. Levis
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Sissoko
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots York United

J. Altobelli
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target75%
S. Hundal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Reid
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Yeates
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Ferrin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atlético Ottawa xG (home)0
York United xG (away)0

Average Possession

56% Possession 50%

Team Comparison Atlético Ottawa vs York United

85.6% Pass accuracy 81%
520 Passes per match 427.25
0 Goals prevented 0
11.6 Fouls committed 18.5
1.2 Goalkeeper saves 4.5
0.4 Offsides 2.75
15.29 Tackles per match 19.25

League average xG this season is 1.61 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atlético Ottawa vs York United prediction and preview

Preview Atlético Ottawa vs York United with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Canadian Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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