Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional

Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-07-25 21:30
Atletico Paranaense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Internacional
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
24%
2
20%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Atletico Paranaense (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Internacional (Away)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atletico Paranaense
WW
Internacional
LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 60%
100% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atletico Paranaense averages 2 goals scored at home, while Internacional averages 0.85 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
24%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Atletico Paranaense 2 - 0 Internacional Home
Aug 2024 Atletico Paranaense(A) 2 - 2 Internacional Draw
Apr 2024 Atletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Internacional Home
Sep 2023 Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1 Internacional Home
May 2023 Atletico Paranaense(A) 2 - 0 Internacional Home

In the last 5 meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Atletico Paranaense — unbeaten run (home)1
Atletico Paranaense — scoring streak (home)1
Internacional — winless run (away)3
Internacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atletico Paranaense Win (1)55%
Draw (X)24%
Internacional Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 60%
100% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 40%
0% -1.5 80%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atletico Paranaense — scored (home)2
Atletico Paranaense — conceded (home)0
Internacional — scored (away)0.85
Internacional — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Atletico Paranaense — BTTS matches (home)0%
Internacional — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)30%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atletico Paranaense (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Internacional (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atletico Paranaense
10 10
Internacional
7 13 6 12 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.548%
Under 0.552%
Over 1.543%
Under 1.557%
Over 2.540%
Under 2.560%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Atletico Paranaense (home)

For—

Internacional (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.60

Atletico Paranaense

Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.575%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.40
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.556%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.12

Internacional

Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.21
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.83

Shots per Game

Atletico Paranaense — total shots (home)—
Internacional — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Atletico Paranaense — on target (home)—
Internacional — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atletico Paranaense

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Internacional

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5

Player Shots Atletico Paranaense

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Internacional

J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target16%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico Paranaense xG (home)-
Internacional xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

-% Possession 51.08%

Team Comparison Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional

0% Pass accuracy 82.63%
- Passes per match 429.03
- Goals prevented -0.13
- Fouls committed 14.89
- Goalkeeper saves 2.61
- Offsides 1.78
16.5 Tackles per match 18

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional prediction analysis

Review Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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