Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana

Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Liga MX 2026-08-01 03:00
Atletico San Luis
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Club Tijuana
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
24%
2
33%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Atletico San Luis (Home)

Goals scored / match1.39
Goals conceded / match1.61
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate61%

Club Tijuana (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.83
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atletico San Luis
DLLWL
Club Tijuana
WWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 67%
39% +1.5 39%
17% +2.5 11%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
61% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atletico San Luis averages 1.39 goals scored at home, while Club Tijuana averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
24%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Atletico San Luis(A) 1 - 1 Club Tijuana Draw
Sep 2025 Atletico San Luis 1 - 1 Club Tijuana Draw
Apr 2025 Atletico San Luis(A) 1 - 2 Club Tijuana Away
Jul 2024 Atletico San Luis 1 - 1 Club Tijuana Draw
Feb 2024 Atletico San Luis 3 - 3 Club Tijuana Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Atletico San Luis won 0, drew 4 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Atletico San Luis — unbeaten run (home)0
Atletico San Luis — scoring streak (home)2
Club Tijuana — winless run (away)2
Club Tijuana — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atletico San Luis Win (1)43%
Draw (X)24%
Club Tijuana Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 67%
39% +1.5 39%
17% +2.5 11%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 33%
61% -1.5 61%
83% -2.5 89%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atletico San Luis — scored (home)1.39
Atletico San Luis — conceded (home)1.61
Club Tijuana — scored (away)1.17
Club Tijuana — conceded (away)1.83
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Atletico San Luis — BTTS matches (home)61%
Club Tijuana — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atletico San Luis (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.6

Club Tijuana (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atletico San Luis
9 13 8 8 12
Club Tijuana
5 9 10 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Atletico San Luis (home)

For2.3

Club Tijuana (away)

For2.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.563%
Under 22.537%
Over 25.549%
Under 25.551%
Expected total shots26.24

Atletico San Luis

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots14.10
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target5.01

Club Tijuana

Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.551%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.14
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.525%
Expected on target4.11

Shots per Game

Atletico San Luis — total shots (home)10.6
Club Tijuana — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Atletico San Luis — on target (home)3.4
Club Tijuana — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atletico San Luis

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box3.71

Club Tijuana

Inside the box6.78
Outside the box4.95

Player Shots Atletico San Luis

J. Galvão
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target38%
L. Flores
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Pérez Bouquet
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Klimowicz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Galdames
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Club Tijuana

A. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target8%
G. Mora
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
K. Castañeda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Vega
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
F. Boya
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico San Luis xG (home)1.25
Club Tijuana xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

47.26% Possession 46.65%

Team Comparison Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana

79.47% Pass accuracy 81.49%
374.26 Passes per match 373.22
-0.11 Goals prevented -0.21
11.91 Fouls committed 12.92
3.21 Goalkeeper saves 3.38
0.91 Offsides 1.91
13.14 Tackles per match 17.92

League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana prediction analysis

Review Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga MX.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Liga MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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