Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Austria Vienna vs Ried

Austria Vienna vs Ried prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-09-20 15:00
Austria Vienna
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Ried
Away

Prediction Summary

1
15%
X
24%
2
62%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Austria Vienna (Home)

Goals scored / match1.19
Goals conceded / match1.69
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate50%

Ried (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Austria Vienna
LWWDL
Ried
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

69% +0.5 59%
38% +1.5 35%
13% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Austria Vienna averages 1.19 goals scored at home, while Ried averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
15%
Draw
24%
Away Win
62%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Austria Vienna(A) 2 - 0 Ried Home
Sep 2025 Austria Vienna 3 - 2 Ried Home
Mar 2023 Austria Vienna(A) 3 - 1 Ried Home
Sep 2022 Austria Vienna 3 - 0 Ried Home
Oct 2021 Austria Vienna 4 - 1 Ried Home

In the last 5 meetings, Austria Vienna won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Austria Vienna — unbeaten run (home)0
Austria Vienna — scoring streak (home)0
Ried — winless run (away)9
Ried — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Austria Vienna Win (1)15%
Draw (X)24%
Ried Win (2)62%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

69% +0.5 59%
38% +1.5 35%
13% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

31% -0.5 41%
62% -1.5 65%
87% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Austria Vienna vs Ried — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Austria Vienna — scored (home)1.19
Austria Vienna — conceded (home)1.69
Ried — scored (away)1
Ried — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Austria Vienna — BTTS matches (home)50%
Ried — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Austria Vienna (home)

Corners for6.8
Corners against3.3

Ried (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Austria Vienna
5 7 8 9 13
Ried
12 8 6 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Austria Vienna (home)

For1.9

Ried (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Austria Vienna — total shots (home)12.2
Ried — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Austria Vienna — on target (home)4.3
Ried — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Austria Vienna

Inside the box7.75
Outside the box3.41

Ried

Inside the box7.83
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots Austria Vienna

M. Malone
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
D. Fitz
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Eggestein
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target7%
N. Botić
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Fischer
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Ried

K. Mutandwa
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Große
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Van Wyk
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Kiedl
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Bajić
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Austria Vienna xG (home)1.29
Ried xG (away)1.36

Average Possession

48.84% Possession 49.26%

Team Comparison Austria Vienna vs Ried

74.19% Pass accuracy 73.34%
383.31 Passes per match 332.09
0.06 Goals prevented -0
11.78 Fouls committed 11.74
2.31 Goalkeeper saves 2.91
2.06 Offsides 2.45
18.41 Tackles per match 14.54

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Austria Vienna vs Ried prediction analysis

Review Austria Vienna vs Ried with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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