Prediction Analysis: Auxerre vs Angers
Auxerre vs Angers prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Ligue 1
2026-08-29
15:00
Auxerre
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Auxerre
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Angers
Away
Prediction Summary
1
49%
X
28%
2
23%
+2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
42%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Auxerre (Home)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate35%
Angers (Away)
Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%
Team Form last 5 matches
Auxerre
WWWLD
Angers
DDLLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
53%
+0.5
59%
29%
+1.5
6%
24%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
35%
BTTS
41%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.
Auxerre averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Angers averages 0.65 goals scored away.
Model Strength
63%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
49%
Draw
28%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Auxerre
3 - 1
Angers
Home
Nov 2025
Auxerre(A)
0 - 2
Angers
Away
Jan 2025
Auxerre(A)
0 - 2
Angers
Away
Nov 2024
Auxerre
1 - 0
Angers
Home
Feb 2024
Auxerre
1 - 0
Angers
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Auxerre won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Auxerre — unbeaten run (home)5
Auxerre — scoring streak (home)2
Angers — winless run (away)4
Angers — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Auxerre Win (1)49%
Draw (X)28%
Angers Win (2)23%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
53%
+0.5
59%
29%
+1.5
6%
24%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
47%
-0.5
41%
71%
-1.5
94%
76%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Auxerre vs Angers — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Auxerre — scored (home)1.06
Auxerre — conceded (home)1
Angers — scored (away)0.65
Angers — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.18
Both Teams To Score
Yes42%
No58%
Rate per Team
Auxerre — BTTS matches (home)35%
Angers — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)38%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Auxerre (home)
Corners for5.5
Corners against4.4
Angers (away)
Corners for3.0
Corners against5.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Auxerre
14
9
10
11
6
Angers
7
9
10
2
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.562%
Under 2.538%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Auxerre (home)
For1.7
Angers (away)
For1.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.565%
Under 19.535%
Over 22.551%
Under 22.549%
Over 25.537%
Under 25.563%
Expected total shots23.44
Auxerre
Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.559%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.23
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.68
Angers
Shots Over 9.552%
Shots Over 11.535%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots10.21
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.70
Shots per Game
Auxerre — total shots (home)11.5
Angers — total shots (away)8.4
Shots on Target
Auxerre — on target (home)3.8
Angers — on target (away)2.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Auxerre
Inside the box6.94
Outside the box3.76
Angers
Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.44
Player Shots Auxerre
L. Sinayoko
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Namaso
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Mara
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target7%
I. Osman
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Casimir
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Angers
G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sbaï
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Cherif
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Belkhdim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Peter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Auxerre xG (home)1.05
Angers xG (away)0.95
Average Possession
43.91%
Possession
41.82%
Team Comparison Auxerre vs Angers
79.62%
Pass accuracy
81.97%
372.85
Passes per match
398.09
0.08
Goals prevented
-0.01
13.74
Fouls committed
11.09
3.29
Goalkeeper saves
4.03
1.45
Offsides
1.79
18.09
Tackles per match
18
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Auxerre vs Angers prediction analysis
Review Auxerre vs Angers with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights