What markets are included in the Auxerre vs Lens prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Auxerre vs Lens prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Auxerre vs Lens

Auxerre vs Lens prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-10-04 19:05

Auxerre

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

23%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Lens

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

34%

24%

Under 2.5

77%

BTTS No

69%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Auxerre (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate35%

Lens (Away)

Goals scored / match1.82

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Auxerre

WWWLD

Lens

WLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 76%

29% +1.5 53%

24% +2.5 29%

0% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

35% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 23%. Model confidence is High.

Auxerre averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Lens averages 1.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

34%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

23%

BTTS Yes

31%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Auxerre(A) 0 - 1 Lens Away

Oct 2025 Auxerre 1 - 2 Lens Away

Apr 2025 Auxerre(A) 4 - 0 Lens Home

Dec 2024 Auxerre 2 - 2 Lens Draw

Jun 2023 Auxerre 1 - 3 Lens Away

In the last 5 meetings, Auxerre won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Auxerre — unbeaten run (home)5

Auxerre — scoring streak (home)2

Lens — winless run (away)0

Lens — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Auxerre Win (1)42%

Draw (X)34%

Lens Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 76%

29% +1.5 53%

24% +2.5 29%

0% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 24%

71% -1.5 47%

76% -2.5 71%

100% -3.5 82%

100% -4.5 94%

Auxerre vs Lens — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Auxerre — scored (home)1.06

Auxerre — conceded (home)1

Lens — scored (away)1.82

Lens — conceded (away)1.29

Model expected combined goals1.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes31%

No69%

Rate per Team

Auxerre — BTTS matches (home)35%

Lens — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Auxerre (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.4

Lens (away)

Corners for5.6

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Auxerre

14 9 10 11 6

Lens

6 15 11 9 28

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Auxerre (home)

For1.7

Lens (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Auxerre — total shots (home)11.5

Lens — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Auxerre — on target (home)3.8

Lens — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Auxerre

Inside the box6.94

Outside the box3.76

Lens

Inside the box11.47

Outside the box4.97

Player Shots Auxerre

L. Sinayoko

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target28%

D. Namaso

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Mara

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target7%

I. Osman

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target0%

J. Casimir

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Lens

O. Édouard

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target34%

W. Saïd

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target31%

F. Thauvin

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Udol

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

M. Sangaré

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Auxerre xG (home)1.05

Lens xG (away)1.99

Average Possession

43.91% Possession 51.12%

Team Comparison Auxerre vs Lens

79.62% Pass accuracy 84.24%

372.85 Passes per match 463.53

0.08 Goals prevented 0.17

13.74 Fouls committed 12.71

3.29 Goalkeeper saves 2.48

1.45 Offsides 2.23

18.09 Tackles per match 18.74

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Auxerre vs Lens prediction analysis

Review Auxerre vs Lens with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights