What markets are included in the Auxerre vs Lens prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Auxerre vs Lens prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Auxerre vs Lens

Auxerre vs Lens prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2024-12-14 18:00

Auxerre

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

38%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Lens

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

29%

30%

Under 2.5

62%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Auxerre (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

Lens (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Auxerre

LDLWL

Lens

WDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 82%

41% +1.5 47%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Auxerre averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Lens averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

29%

Away Win

30%

Over 2.5

38%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Auxerre(A) 0 - 1 Lens Away

Oct 2025 Auxerre 1 - 2 Lens Away

Apr 2025 Auxerre(A) 4 - 0 Lens Home

Dec 2024 Auxerre 2 - 2 Lens Draw

Jun 2023 Auxerre 1 - 3 Lens Away

In the last 5 meetings, Auxerre won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Auxerre — unbeaten run (home)1

Auxerre — scoring streak (home)4

Lens — winless run (away)1

Lens — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Auxerre Win (1)41%

Draw (X)29%

Lens Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 82%

41% +1.5 47%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 18%

59% -1.5 53%

82% -2.5 94%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Auxerre vs Lens — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Auxerre — scored (home)1.41

Auxerre — conceded (home)1

Lens — scored (away)1.35

Lens — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals2.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Auxerre — BTTS matches (home)47%

Lens — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Auxerre (home)

Corners for3.6

Corners against6.1

Lens (away)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Auxerre

12 9 9 10 7

Lens

13 9 10 3 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.580%

Under 2.520%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Auxerre (home)

For2.0

Lens (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Auxerre — total shots (home)11.8

Lens — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Auxerre — on target (home)4.4

Lens — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Auxerre

Inside the box7.32

Outside the box3.85

Lens

Inside the box9.68

Outside the box4.71

Player Shots Auxerre

R. Raveloson

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target15%

G. Perrin

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target18%

K. Danois

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target5%

T. Bair

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target10%

A. Onaiwu

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Lens

F. Sotoca

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Koyalipou

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target20%

M'Bala Nzola

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target29%

R. Aguilar

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Chávez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Auxerre xG (home)1.23

Lens xG (away)1.57

Average Possession

42.47% Possession 54.06%

Team Comparison Auxerre vs Lens

78.35% Pass accuracy 83.12%

376.76 Passes per match 488.06

0.1 Goals prevented 0.39

11.88 Fouls committed 14.68

3.76 Goalkeeper saves 3.03

1.41 Offsides 2.8

19.32 Tackles per match 17.94

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Auxerre vs Lens prediction analysis

Review Auxerre vs Lens with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights