What markets are included in the Auxerre vs Lille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Auxerre vs Lille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Auxerre vs Lille

Auxerre vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Ligue 1 2025-12-14 16:15

Auxerre

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Lille

Away

Prediction Summary

33%

26%

40%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Auxerre (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate35%

Lille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65

Goals conceded / match1.18

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Auxerre

WWWLD

Lille

LWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 65%

29% +1.5 41%

24% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

35% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Auxerre averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

33%

Draw

26%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Auxerre(A) 2 - 0 Lille Home

Dec 2025 Auxerre 3 - 4 Lille Away

Apr 2025 Auxerre(A) 1 - 3 Lille Away

Jan 2025 Auxerre 0 - 0 Lille Draw

Apr 2023 Auxerre 1 - 1 Lille Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Auxerre won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Auxerre — unbeaten run (home)5

Auxerre — scoring streak (home)2

Lille — winless run (away)0

Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Auxerre Win (1)33%

Draw (X)26%

Lille Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 65%

29% +1.5 41%

24% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 35%

71% -1.5 59%

76% -2.5 76%

100% -3.5 82%

100% -4.5 94%

Auxerre vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Auxerre — scored (home)1.06

Auxerre — conceded (home)1

Lille — scored (away)1.65

Lille — conceded (away)1.18

Model expected combined goals2.59

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Auxerre — BTTS matches (home)35%

Lille — BTTS matches (away)29%

Combined (simple average)32%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Auxerre (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.4

Lille (away)

Corners for5.1

Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Auxerre

14 9 10 11 6

Lille

8 10 19 7 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Auxerre (home)

For1.7

Lille (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Auxerre — total shots (home)11.5

Lille — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Auxerre — on target (home)3.8

Lille — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Auxerre

Inside the box6.94

Outside the box3.76

Lille

Inside the box9.56

Outside the box4.06

Player Shots Auxerre

L. Sinayoko

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target28%

D. Namaso

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Mara

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target7%

I. Osman

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target0%

J. Casimir

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Lille

M. Fernandez-Pardo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target31%

H. Igamane

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target15%

O. Giroud

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Haraldsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Diaoune

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Auxerre xG (home)1.05

Lille xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

43.91% Possession 55.85%

Team Comparison Auxerre vs Lille

79.62% Pass accuracy 85.09%

372.85 Passes per match 496.88

0.08 Goals prevented 0.2

13.74 Fouls committed 10.88

3.29 Goalkeeper saves 2.24

1.45 Offsides 1.47

18.09 Tackles per match 15.15

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Auxerre vs Lille prediction analysis

Review Auxerre vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights