What markets are included in the Auxerre vs Lyon prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Auxerre vs Lyon prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Auxerre vs Lyon

Auxerre vs Lyon prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-04-13 18:45

Auxerre

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

51%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Lyon

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

26%

32%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

55%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Auxerre (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

Lyon (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Auxerre

LDLWL

Lyon

WLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 82%

41% +1.5 47%

18% +2.5 24%

6% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Auxerre averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Lyon averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

26%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Auxerre(A) 2 - 3 Lyon Away

Nov 2025 Auxerre 0 - 0 Lyon Draw

Apr 2025 Auxerre 1 - 3 Lyon Away

Oct 2024 Auxerre(A) 2 - 2 Lyon Draw

Feb 2023 Auxerre 2 - 1 Lyon Home

In the last 5 meetings, Auxerre won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Auxerre — unbeaten run (home)1

Auxerre — scoring streak (home)4

Lyon — winless run (away)2

Lyon — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Auxerre Win (1)42%

Draw (X)26%

Lyon Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 82%

41% +1.5 47%

18% +2.5 24%

6% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 18%

59% -1.5 53%

82% -2.5 76%

94% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 100%

Auxerre vs Lyon — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Auxerre — scored (home)1.41

Auxerre — conceded (home)1

Lyon — scored (away)1.65

Lyon — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%

No45%

Rate per Team

Auxerre — BTTS matches (home)47%

Lyon — BTTS matches (away)65%

Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Auxerre (home)

Corners for3.6

Corners against6.1

Lyon (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Auxerre

12 9 9 10 7

Lyon

14 9 10 8 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Auxerre (home)

For2.0

Lyon (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Auxerre — total shots (home)11.8

Lyon — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Auxerre — on target (home)4.4

Lyon — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Auxerre

Inside the box7.32

Outside the box3.85

Lyon

Inside the box9.53

Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Auxerre

R. Raveloson

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target15%

G. Perrin

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target18%

K. Danois

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target5%

T. Bair

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target10%

A. Onaiwu

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Lyon

A. Lacazette

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target37%

G. Orban

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

R. Cherki

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Mikautadze

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target18%

E. Nuamah

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Auxerre xG (home)1.23

Lyon xG (away)1.8

Average Possession

42.47% Possession 56.62%

Team Comparison Auxerre vs Lyon

78.35% Pass accuracy 85.71%

376.76 Passes per match 517.71

0.1 Goals prevented 0.04

11.88 Fouls committed 11.97

3.76 Goalkeeper saves 3.53

1.41 Offsides 2.29

19.32 Tackles per match 16.88

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Auxerre vs Lyon prediction analysis

Review Auxerre vs Lyon with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights