What markets are included in the Auxerre vs Nantes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Auxerre vs Nantes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Auxerre vs Nantes

Auxerre vs Nantes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-05-10 19:00

Auxerre

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Nantes

Away

Prediction Summary

53%

24%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

55%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Auxerre (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

Nantes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate82%

Team Form last 5 matches

Auxerre

LDLWL

Nantes

WDLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 82%

41% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 82%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.

Auxerre averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Nantes averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

53%

Draw

24%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Auxerre 0 - 0 Nantes Draw

Aug 2025 Auxerre(A) 0 - 1 Nantes Away

May 2025 Auxerre 1 - 1 Nantes Draw

Aug 2024 Auxerre(A) 0 - 2 Nantes Away

Apr 2023 Auxerre 2 - 1 Nantes Home

In the last 5 meetings, Auxerre won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Auxerre — unbeaten run (home)1

Auxerre — scoring streak (home)4

Nantes — winless run (away)2

Nantes — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Auxerre Win (1)53%

Draw (X)24%

Nantes Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 82%

41% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 18%

59% -1.5 71%

82% -2.5 94%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Auxerre vs Nantes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Auxerre — scored (home)1.41

Auxerre — conceded (home)1

Nantes — scored (away)1.18

Nantes — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals2.84

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%

No45%

Rate per Team

Auxerre — BTTS matches (home)47%

Nantes — BTTS matches (away)82%

Combined (simple average)64.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Auxerre (home)

Corners for3.6

Corners against6.1

Nantes (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Auxerre

12 9 9 10 7

Nantes

8 8 10 10 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Auxerre (home)

For2.0

Nantes (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Auxerre — total shots (home)11.8

Nantes — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Auxerre — on target (home)4.4

Nantes — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Auxerre

Inside the box7.32

Outside the box3.85

Nantes

Inside the box7.62

Outside the box2.68

Player Shots Auxerre

R. Raveloson

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target15%

G. Perrin

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target18%

K. Danois

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target5%

T. Bair

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target10%

A. Onaiwu

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Nantes

Mostafa Mohamed

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target13%

M. Abline

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target18%

Bahereba Guirassy

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target5%

Louis Leroux

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target6%

Douglas Augusto

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Auxerre xG (home)1.23

Nantes xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

42.47% Possession 39.97%

Team Comparison Auxerre vs Nantes

78.35% Pass accuracy 79.53%

376.76 Passes per match 367.76

0.1 Goals prevented 0.06

11.88 Fouls committed 12.12

3.76 Goalkeeper saves 2.94

1.41 Offsides 1.11

19.32 Tackles per match 18.91

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Auxerre vs Nantes prediction analysis

Review Auxerre vs Nantes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights