What markets are included in the Auxerre vs Nice prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Auxerre vs Nice prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Auxerre vs Nice

Auxerre vs Nice prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-09-12 15:00

Auxerre

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Nice

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

27%

26%

+2.5 Goals

44%

BTTS

48%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Auxerre (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate35%

Nice (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.83

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Auxerre

WWWLD

Nice

WDDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 67%

29% +1.5 22%

24% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Auxerre averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Nice averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

27%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Auxerre 2 - 1 Nice Home

Aug 2025 Auxerre(A) 1 - 3 Nice Away

Mar 2025 Auxerre(A) 1 - 1 Nice Draw

Aug 2024 Auxerre 2 - 1 Nice Home

Mar 2023 Auxerre(A) 1 - 1 Nice Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Auxerre won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Auxerre — unbeaten run (home)5

Auxerre — scoring streak (home)2

Nice — winless run (away)5

Nice — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Auxerre Win (1)47%

Draw (X)27%

Nice Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 67%

29% +1.5 22%

24% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 33%

71% -1.5 78%

76% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Auxerre vs Nice — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Auxerre — scored (home)1.06

Auxerre — conceded (home)1

Nice — scored (away)1

Nice — conceded (away)1.83

Model expected combined goals2.45

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Auxerre — BTTS matches (home)35%

Nice — BTTS matches (away)61%

Combined (simple average)48%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Auxerre (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.4

Nice (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Auxerre

14 9 10 11 6

Nice

15 11 14 12 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.583%

Under 2.517%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Auxerre (home)

For1.7

Nice (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.568%

Under 19.532%

Over 22.554%

Under 22.546%

Over 25.540%

Under 25.560%

Expected total shots24.19

Auxerre

Shots Over 9.575%

Shots Over 11.560%

Shots Over 13.544%

Expected shots13.28

On Target Over 3.562%

On Target Over 4.546%

On Target Over 5.532%

Expected on target4.55

Nice

Shots Over 9.558%

Shots Over 11.541%

Shots Over 13.526%

Expected shots10.91

On Target Over 3.557%

On Target Over 4.540%

On Target Over 5.526%

Expected on target4.18

Shots per Game

Auxerre — total shots (home)11.5

Nice — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Auxerre — on target (home)3.8

Nice — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Auxerre

Inside the box6.94

Outside the box3.76

Nice

Inside the box7.33

Outside the box3.94

Player Shots Auxerre

L. Sinayoko

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target28%

D. Namaso

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Mara

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target7%

I. Osman

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target0%

J. Casimir

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Nice

E. Wahi

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target40%

T. Moffi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Cho

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target12%

S. Diop

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target3%

I. Jansson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Auxerre xG (home)1.05

Nice xG (away)1.28

Average Possession

43.91% Possession 46.69%

Team Comparison Auxerre vs Nice

79.62% Pass accuracy 81.86%

372.85 Passes per match 418.14

0.08 Goals prevented -0.02

13.74 Fouls committed 12.14

3.29 Goalkeeper saves 3.31

1.45 Offsides 2

18.09 Tackles per match 15.83

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Auxerre vs Nice prediction analysis

Review Auxerre vs Nice with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights