What markets are included in the Auxerre vs Toulouse prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Auxerre vs Toulouse prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Auxerre vs Toulouse

Auxerre vs Toulouse prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-09-21 15:15

Auxerre

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Toulouse

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

28%

35%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Auxerre (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate35%

Toulouse (Away)

Goals scored / match1.38

Goals conceded / match1.38

Over 2.5 rate13%

BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Auxerre

WWWLD

Toulouse

WWDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 75%

29% +1.5 44%

24% +2.5 13%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Auxerre averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Toulouse averages 1.38 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

28%

Away Win

35%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Auxerre(A) 0 - 0 Toulouse Draw

Sep 2025 Auxerre 1 - 0 Toulouse Home

Feb 2025 Auxerre 2 - 2 Toulouse Draw

Dec 2024 Auxerre(A) 0 - 2 Toulouse Away

May 2023 Auxerre(A) 1 - 1 Toulouse Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Auxerre won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Auxerre — unbeaten run (home)5

Auxerre — scoring streak (home)2

Toulouse — winless run (away)0

Toulouse — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Auxerre Win (1)37%

Draw (X)28%

Toulouse Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 75%

29% +1.5 44%

24% +2.5 13%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 25%

71% -1.5 56%

76% -2.5 87%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Auxerre vs Toulouse — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Auxerre — scored (home)1.06

Auxerre — conceded (home)1

Toulouse — scored (away)1.38

Toulouse — conceded (away)1.38

Model expected combined goals2.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Auxerre — BTTS matches (home)35%

Toulouse — BTTS matches (away)56%

Combined (simple average)45.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.573%

Under 7.527%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.549%

Under 9.551%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Auxerre (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.4

Toulouse (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Auxerre

14 9 10 11 6

Toulouse

6 15 6 11 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Auxerre (home)

For1.7

Toulouse (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Auxerre — total shots (home)11.5

Toulouse — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

Auxerre — on target (home)3.8

Toulouse — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Auxerre

Inside the box6.94

Outside the box3.76

Toulouse

Inside the box8.36

Outside the box4.48

Player Shots Auxerre

L. Sinayoko

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target28%

D. Namaso

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Mara

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target7%

I. Osman

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target0%

J. Casimir

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Toulouse

P. Diop

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target13%

F. Magri

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target12%

Emersonn

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target11%

Julián Vignolo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

Y. Gboho

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Auxerre xG (home)1.05

Toulouse xG (away)1.31

Average Possession

43.91% Possession 42.24%

Team Comparison Auxerre vs Toulouse

79.62% Pass accuracy 80.55%

372.85 Passes per match 374

0.08 Goals prevented 0.07

13.74 Fouls committed 14.36

3.29 Goalkeeper saves 2.58

1.45 Offsides 1.33

18.09 Tackles per match 16.36

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Auxerre vs Toulouse prediction analysis

Review Auxerre vs Toulouse with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights