Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Avai vs CRB

Avai vs CRB prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-11 22:30
Avai
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
CRB
Away

Prediction Summary

1
66%
X
23%
2
11%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
68%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Avai (Home)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match0.33
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate33%

CRB (Away)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Avai
WDWLL
CRB
WWDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%
67% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Avai averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while CRB averages 0.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
66%
Draw
23%
Away Win
11%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
32%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Avai(A) 0 - 1 CRB Away
Jun 2025 Avai 1 - 0 CRB Home
Aug 2024 Avai(A) 2 - 1 CRB Home
May 2024 Avai 2 - 1 CRB Home
Nov 2023 Avai 1 - 1 CRB Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Avai won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Avai — unbeaten run (home)3
Avai — scoring streak (home)3
CRB — winless run (away)0
CRB — clean sheets (away, last 3)2 of 3

1X2 Probability model

Avai Win (1)66%
Draw (X)23%
CRB Win (2)11%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%
67% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%
33% -1.5 100%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Avai vs CRB — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Avai — scored (home)1.67
Avai — conceded (home)0.33
CRB — scored (away)0.67
CRB — conceded (away)1.67
Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes32%
No68%

Rate per Team

Avai — BTTS matches (home)33%
CRB — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)16.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Avai (home)

Corners for3.3
Corners against7.0

CRB (away)

Corners for6.0
Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Avai
11 8 11 9 6
CRB
17 13 7 7 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Avai (home)

For1.0

CRB (away)

For3.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.581%
Under 19.519%
Over 22.568%
Under 22.532%
Over 25.554%
Under 25.546%
Expected total shots27.04

Avai

Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.554%
Expected shots14.55
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.74

CRB

Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.538%
Expected shots12.49
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.530%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.61

Shots per Game

Avai — total shots (home)10.7
CRB — total shots (away)13.0

Shots on Target

Avai — on target (home)3.0
CRB — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Avai

Inside the box4.17
Outside the box4.33

CRB

Inside the box8.33
Outside the box7.5

Player Shots Avai

Daniel Penha
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target50%
Wesley Gasolina
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Jean Lucas
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Wallison
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
William Fernando
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots CRB

Mikael
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target50%
Dadá Belmonte
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
Thiaguinho
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Crystopher
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
Pedro Castro
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Avai xG (home)0.83
CRB xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

45.71% Possession 47.67%

Team Comparison Avai vs CRB

79.63% Pass accuracy 83.5%
374 Passes per match 393.17
-0.6 Goals prevented 0.39
12 Fouls committed 11.17
4 Goalkeeper saves 3.33
2.33 Offsides 0.83
13.71 Tackles per match 12.83

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Avai vs CRB prediction analysis

Review Avai vs CRB with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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