Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Avellino vs Arezzo

Avellino vs Arezzo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-22 13:00
Avellino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Arezzo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
26%
2
32%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Avellino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate53%

Arezzo (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Avellino
LWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 0%
42% +1.5 0%
16% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.

Avellino averages 1.37 goals scored at home, while Arezzo averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
26%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Avellino — unbeaten run (home)6
Avellino — scoring streak (home)5

1X2 Probability model

Avellino Win (1)42%
Draw (X)26%
Arezzo Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 0%
42% +1.5 0%
16% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 100%
58% -1.5 100%
84% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Avellino vs Arezzo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Avellino — scored (home)1.37
Avellino — conceded (home)1.32
Arezzo — scored (away)0
Arezzo — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.62

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Avellino — BTTS matches (home)53%
Arezzo — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)26.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Avellino (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.0

Arezzo (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Avellino
12 12 6 6 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.545%
Under 2.555%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Avellino (home)

For2.5

Arezzo (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.47

Avellino

Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.546%
Expected shots13.51
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.58

Arezzo

Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.96
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.72

Shots per Game

Avellino — total shots (home)12.0
Arezzo — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Avellino — on target (home)4.5
Arezzo — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Avellino

Inside the box5.92
Outside the box3.95

Arezzo

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Avellino

F. Lescano
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
T. Biasci
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Palumbo
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Besaggio
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
R. Russo
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Arezzo

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Avellino xG (home)0.94
Arezzo xG (away)-

Average Possession

50.21% Possession -%

Team Comparison Avellino vs Arezzo

79.92% Pass accuracy 0%
409.54 Passes per match -
0.1 Goals prevented -
14.44 Fouls committed -
2.87 Goalkeeper saves -
1.46 Offsides -
17.18 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Avellino vs Arezzo prediction analysis

Review Avellino vs Arezzo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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