What markets are included in the AVS vs Arouca prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AVS vs Arouca prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AVS vs Arouca

AVS vs Arouca prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Primeira Liga 2025-03-08 15:30

AVS

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Arouca

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

26%

33%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS Yes

54%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

AVS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.44

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate44%

Arouca (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.76

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

AVS

DWLWL

Arouca

WDDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 76%

17% +1.5 29%

6% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

44% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

AVS averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Arouca averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

26%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 AVS 0 - 1 Arouca Away

Aug 2025 AVS(A) 1 - 3 Arouca Away

Mar 2025 AVS 0 - 1 Arouca Away

Oct 2024 AVS(A) 1 - 1 Arouca Draw

Sep 2023 AVS 1 - 2 Arouca Away

In the last 5 meetings, AVS won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

AVS — unbeaten run (home)1

AVS — scoring streak (home)1

Arouca — winless run (away)4

Arouca — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AVS Win (1)41%

Draw (X)26%

Arouca Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 76%

17% +1.5 29%

6% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 24%

83% -1.5 71%

94% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

AVS vs Arouca — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AVS — scored (home)0.89

AVS — conceded (home)1.44

Arouca — scored (away)1.12

Arouca — conceded (away)1.76

Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

AVS — BTTS matches (home)44%

Arouca — BTTS matches (away)65%

Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.586%

Under 5.514%

Over 6.575%

Under 6.525%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

AVS (home)

Corners for3.1

Corners against4.9

Arouca (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AVS

9 7 6 10 14

Arouca

8 8 5 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.592%

Under 2.58%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

AVS (home)

For3.3

Arouca (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

AVS — total shots (home)10.8

Arouca — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

AVS — on target (home)3.2

Arouca — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AVS

Inside the box6.03

Outside the box4.17

Arouca

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box5.21

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

Zé Luís

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target12%

B. Akinsola

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target9%

Vasco Lopes

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target8%

Nenê

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Arouca

V. Morozov

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target18%

D. Nandín

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Ivo Rodrigues

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

Jason

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target16%

Pablo Gozálbez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AVS xG (home)0.89

Arouca xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

42.81% Possession 52.59%

Team Comparison AVS vs Arouca

76.78% Pass accuracy 80.94%

347.36 Passes per match 421.68

-0.09 Goals prevented -0.03

14.08 Fouls committed 14.65

3.65 Goalkeeper saves 2.82

1.5 Offsides 1.88

16.25 Tackles per match 16.32

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AVS vs Arouca prediction analysis

Review AVS vs Arouca with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights