Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AVS vs Benfica

AVS vs Benfica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-12-15 18:00
AVS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Benfica
Away

Prediction Summary

1
19%
X
26%
2
55%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

AVS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate44%

Benfica (Away)

Goals scored / match1.88
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

AVS
DWLWL
Benfica
DDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 88%
17% +1.5 59%
6% +2.5 35%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
44% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

AVS averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Benfica averages 1.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
19%
Draw
26%
Away Win
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 AVS(A) 0 - 3 Benfica Away
Sep 2025 AVS 0 - 3 Benfica Away
Apr 2025 AVS(A) 0 - 6 Benfica Away
Dec 2024 AVS 1 - 1 Benfica Draw
Dec 2023 AVS(A) 1 - 4 Benfica Away

In the last 5 meetings, AVS won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

AVS — unbeaten run (home)1
AVS — scoring streak (home)1
Benfica — winless run (away)1
Benfica — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AVS Win (1)19%
Draw (X)26%
Benfica Win (2)55%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 88%
17% +1.5 59%
6% +2.5 35%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 12%
83% -1.5 41%
94% -2.5 65%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

AVS vs Benfica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AVS — scored (home)0.89
AVS — conceded (home)1.44
Benfica — scored (away)1.88
Benfica — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals2.27

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

AVS — BTTS matches (home)44%
Benfica — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)48.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.552%
Under 8.548%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

AVS (home)

Corners for3.1
Corners against4.9

Benfica (away)

Corners for6.4
Corners against2.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AVS
9 7 6 10 14
Benfica
10 14 6 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

AVS (home)

For3.3

Benfica (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

AVS — total shots (home)10.8
Benfica — total shots (away)14.7

Shots on Target

AVS — on target (home)3.2
Benfica — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Benfica

Inside the box10.65
Outside the box6.21

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Benfica

A. Belotti
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
Tiago Gouveia
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
Z. Amdouni
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
Arthur Cabral
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Á. Di María
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AVS xG (home)0.89
Benfica xG (away)2.23

Average Possession

42.81% Possession 58.38%

Team Comparison AVS vs Benfica

76.78% Pass accuracy 84.06%
347.36 Passes per match 501.68
-0.09 Goals prevented -0.07
14.08 Fouls committed 11.76
3.65 Goalkeeper saves 2.29
1.5 Offsides 3.11
16.25 Tackles per match 18.65

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AVS vs Benfica prediction analysis

Review AVS vs Benfica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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