What markets are included in the AVS vs Casa Pia prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AVS vs Casa Pia prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AVS vs Casa Pia

AVS vs Casa Pia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-19 14:30

AVS

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Casa Pia

Away

Prediction Summary

35%

27%

38%

Under 2.5

56%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

AVS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.44

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate44%

Casa Pia (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

AVS

DWLWL

Casa Pia

LWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 65%

17% +1.5 29%

6% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

44% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

AVS averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Casa Pia averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

35%

Draw

27%

Away Win

38%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 AVS(A) 3 - 3 Casa Pia Draw

Aug 2025 AVS 0 - 2 Casa Pia Away

Apr 2025 AVS 1 - 1 Casa Pia Draw

Dec 2024 AVS(A) 1 - 1 Casa Pia Draw

In the last 4 meetings, AVS won 0, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

AVS — unbeaten run (home)1

AVS — scoring streak (home)1

Casa Pia — winless run (away)8

Casa Pia — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AVS Win (1)35%

Draw (X)27%

Casa Pia Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 65%

17% +1.5 29%

6% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 35%

83% -1.5 71%

94% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

AVS vs Casa Pia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AVS — scored (home)0.89

AVS — conceded (home)1.44

Casa Pia — scored (away)1

Casa Pia — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

AVS — BTTS matches (home)44%

Casa Pia — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)48.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.580%

Under 5.520%

Over 6.575%

Under 6.525%

Over 7.561%

Under 7.539%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.529%

Under 9.571%

Over 10.526%

Under 10.574%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

AVS (home)

Corners for3.1

Corners against4.9

Casa Pia (away)

Corners for3.3

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AVS

9 7 6 10 14

Casa Pia

7 8 5 9 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.589%

Under 2.511%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

AVS (home)

For3.3

Casa Pia (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

AVS — total shots (home)10.8

Casa Pia — total shots (away)8.1

Shots on Target

AVS — on target (home)3.2

Casa Pia — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AVS

Inside the box6.03

Outside the box4.17

Casa Pia

Inside the box5.59

Outside the box3.76

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

Zé Luís

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target12%

B. Akinsola

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target9%

Vasco Lopes

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target8%

Nenê

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Casa Pia

Max Svensson

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target19%

Henrique Pereira

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target4%

Cassiano

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target12%

Leonardo Lelo

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AVS xG (home)0.89

Casa Pia xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

42.81% Possession 46.65%

Team Comparison AVS vs Casa Pia

76.78% Pass accuracy 76.68%

347.36 Passes per match 363.74

-0.09 Goals prevented 0.09

14.08 Fouls committed 14.82

3.65 Goalkeeper saves 3.64

1.5 Offsides 1.32

16.25 Tackles per match 14.71

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AVS vs Casa Pia prediction analysis

Review AVS vs Casa Pia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights