Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AVS vs Estoril

AVS vs Estoril prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-04 19:15
AVS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Estoril
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
26%
2
36%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

AVS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate44%

Estoril (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

AVS
DWLWL
Estoril
WDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 65%
17% +1.5 53%
6% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
44% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

AVS averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Estoril averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
26%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 AVS 3 - 0 Estoril Home
Sep 2025 AVS(A) 1 - 3 Estoril Away
Apr 2025 AVS 0 - 3 Estoril Away
Nov 2024 AVS(A) 0 - 0 Estoril Draw

In the last 4 meetings, AVS won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

AVS — unbeaten run (home)1
AVS — scoring streak (home)1
Estoril — winless run (away)1
Estoril — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AVS Win (1)38%
Draw (X)26%
Estoril Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 65%
17% +1.5 53%
6% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 35%
83% -1.5 47%
94% -2.5 76%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

AVS vs Estoril — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AVS — scored (home)0.89
AVS — conceded (home)1.44
Estoril — scored (away)1.47
Estoril — conceded (away)1.76
Model expected combined goals2.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

AVS — BTTS matches (home)44%
Estoril — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.572%
Under 6.528%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.552%
Under 8.548%
Over 9.532%
Under 9.568%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

AVS (home)

Corners for3.1
Corners against4.9

Estoril (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AVS
9 7 6 10 14
Estoril
3 8 6 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

AVS (home)

For3.3

Estoril (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

AVS — total shots (home)10.8
Estoril — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

AVS — on target (home)3.2
Estoril — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Estoril

Inside the box5.38
Outside the box4.53

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Estoril

André Lacximicant
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
Xeka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
Y. Begraoui
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
Fabrício Garcia
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target4%
K. Boma
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AVS xG (home)0.89
Estoril xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

42.81% Possession 49.06%

Team Comparison AVS vs Estoril

76.78% Pass accuracy 79.91%
347.36 Passes per match 404.68
-0.09 Goals prevented -0.05
14.08 Fouls committed 15.88
3.65 Goalkeeper saves 2.79
1.5 Offsides 1.24
16.25 Tackles per match 15.62

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AVS vs Estoril prediction analysis

Review AVS vs Estoril with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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