Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AVS vs Famalicao

AVS vs Famalicao prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primeira Liga 2024-11-03 15:30
AVS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
30%
Confidence
High
Score
0-1
Famalicao
Away

Prediction Summary

1
20%
X
30%
2
49%
Under 2.5
70%
BTTS No
65%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

AVS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate44%

Famalicao (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

AVS
DWLWL
Famalicao
WLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 88%
17% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
44% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 30%. Model confidence is High.

AVS averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Famalicao averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
20%
Draw
30%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Yes
35%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 AVS(A) 1 - 3 Famalicao Away
Aug 2025 AVS 0 - 1 Famalicao Away
Mar 2025 AVS(A) 1 - 4 Famalicao Away
Nov 2024 AVS 2 - 3 Famalicao Away

In the last 4 meetings, AVS won 0, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

AVS — unbeaten run (home)1
AVS — scoring streak (home)1
Famalicao — winless run (away)3
Famalicao — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AVS Win (1)20%
Draw (X)30%
Famalicao Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 88%
17% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 12%
83% -1.5 65%
94% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

AVS vs Famalicao — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AVS — scored (home)0.89
AVS — conceded (home)1.44
Famalicao — scored (away)1.41
Famalicao — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals1.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes35%
No65%

Rate per Team

AVS — BTTS matches (home)44%
Famalicao — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

AVS (home)

Corners for3.1
Corners against4.9

Famalicao (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AVS
9 7 6 10 14
Famalicao
9 15 14 9 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

AVS (home)

For3.3

Famalicao (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

AVS — total shots (home)10.8
Famalicao — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

AVS — on target (home)3.2
Famalicao — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Famalicao

Inside the box6.38
Outside the box5.09

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Famalicao

Pedro Francisco
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Elisor
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target7%
Gil Dias
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target17%
Sorriso
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
Z. Youssouf
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AVS xG (home)0.89
Famalicao xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

42.81% Possession 50.38%

Team Comparison AVS vs Famalicao

76.78% Pass accuracy 79.24%
347.36 Passes per match 397
-0.09 Goals prevented 0.14
14.08 Fouls committed 14
3.65 Goalkeeper saves 3.06
1.5 Offsides 1.18
16.25 Tackles per match 16.44

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AVS vs Famalicao prediction analysis

Review AVS vs Famalicao with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top