Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AVS vs FC Porto

AVS vs FC Porto prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-10-28 20:15
AVS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
23%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
FC Porto
Away

Prediction Summary

1
26%
X
34%
2
40%
Under 2.5
77%
BTTS No
69%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

AVS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate44%

FC Porto (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

AVS
DWLWL
FC Porto
WWWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 76%
17% +1.5 47%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
44% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 23%. Model confidence is High.

AVS averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while FC Porto averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength
77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
26%
Draw
34%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
23%
BTTS Yes
31%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 AVS 3 - 1 FC Porto Home
Dec 2025 AVS(A) 0 - 2 FC Porto Away
Mar 2025 AVS(A) 0 - 2 FC Porto Away
Oct 2024 AVS 0 - 5 FC Porto Away

In the last 4 meetings, AVS won 1, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

AVS — unbeaten run (home)1
AVS — scoring streak (home)1
FC Porto — winless run (away)0
FC Porto — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AVS Win (1)26%
Draw (X)34%
FC Porto Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 76%
17% +1.5 47%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 24%
83% -1.5 53%
94% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

AVS vs FC Porto — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AVS — scored (home)0.89
AVS — conceded (home)1.44
FC Porto — scored (away)1.53
FC Porto — conceded (away)1.12
Model expected combined goals1.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes31%
No69%

Rate per Team

AVS — BTTS matches (home)44%
FC Porto — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.586%
Under 4.514%
Over 5.575%
Under 5.525%
Over 6.560%
Under 6.540%
Over 7.549%
Under 7.551%
Over 8.540%
Under 8.560%
Over 9.526%
Under 9.574%
Over 10.518%
Under 10.582%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

AVS (home)

Corners for3.1
Corners against4.9

FC Porto (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against2.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AVS
9 7 6 10 14
FC Porto
9 16 11 4 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

AVS (home)

For3.3

FC Porto (away)

For3.4

Shots per Game

AVS — total shots (home)10.8
FC Porto — total shots (away)12.4

Shots on Target

AVS — on target (home)3.2
FC Porto — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

FC Porto

Inside the box9.71
Outside the box4.56

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots FC Porto

Galeno
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target44%
D. Namaso
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target14%
Samu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target30%
Iván Jaime
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
Pepê Aquino
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AVS xG (home)0.89
FC Porto xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

42.81% Possession 62.03%

Team Comparison AVS vs FC Porto

76.78% Pass accuracy 85.85%
347.36 Passes per match 514.44
-0.09 Goals prevented -0.06
14.08 Fouls committed 14.24
3.65 Goalkeeper saves 1.91
1.5 Offsides 1.45
16.25 Tackles per match 13.82

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AVS vs FC Porto prediction analysis

Review AVS vs FC Porto with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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