Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AVS vs GIL Vicente

AVS vs GIL Vicente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-01-27 20:15
AVS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
GIL Vicente
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
26%
2
28%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

AVS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate44%

GIL Vicente (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

AVS
DWLWL
GIL Vicente
DDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 65%
17% +1.5 18%
6% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
44% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

AVS averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while GIL Vicente averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
26%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 AVS(A) 0 - 3 GIL Vicente Away
Nov 2025 AVS 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Draw
Jan 2025 AVS 1 - 0 GIL Vicente Home
Aug 2024 AVS(A) 2 - 4 GIL Vicente Away

In the last 4 meetings, AVS won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

AVS — unbeaten run (home)1
AVS — scoring streak (home)1
GIL Vicente — winless run (away)2
GIL Vicente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AVS Win (1)46%
Draw (X)26%
GIL Vicente Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 65%
17% +1.5 18%
6% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 35%
83% -1.5 82%
94% -2.5 88%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

AVS vs GIL Vicente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AVS — scored (home)0.89
AVS — conceded (home)1.44
GIL Vicente — scored (away)0.94
GIL Vicente — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

AVS — BTTS matches (home)44%
GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)48.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.532%
Under 9.568%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

AVS (home)

Corners for3.1
Corners against4.9

GIL Vicente (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AVS
9 7 6 10 14
GIL Vicente
9 5 11 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

AVS (home)

For3.3

GIL Vicente (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

AVS — total shots (home)10.8
GIL Vicente — total shots (away)7.8

Shots on Target

AVS — on target (home)3.2
GIL Vicente — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots GIL Vicente

Pablo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Bamba
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
K. Fujimoto
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
Félix Correia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AVS xG (home)0.89
GIL Vicente xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

42.81% Possession 50.85%

Team Comparison AVS vs GIL Vicente

76.78% Pass accuracy 81.62%
347.36 Passes per match 437.18
-0.09 Goals prevented -0.1
14.08 Fouls committed 11.62
3.65 Goalkeeper saves 2.71
1.5 Offsides 1.53
16.25 Tackles per match 15.71

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AVS vs GIL Vicente prediction analysis

Review AVS vs GIL Vicente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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