Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AVS vs GIL Vicente

AVS vs GIL Vicente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-11-09 15:30
AVS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
High
Score
0-1
GIL Vicente
Away

Prediction Summary

1
9%
X
20%
2
71%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
67%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

AVS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

GIL Vicente (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

AVS
DWWDD
GIL Vicente
LLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 65%
24% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is High.

AVS averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while GIL Vicente averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
9%
Draw
20%
Away Win
71%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
33%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 AVS(A) 0 - 3 GIL Vicente Away
Nov 2025 AVS 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Draw
Jan 2025 AVS 1 - 0 GIL Vicente Home
Aug 2024 AVS(A) 2 - 4 GIL Vicente Away

In the last 4 meetings, AVS won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

AVS — unbeaten run (home)3
AVS — scoring streak (home)3
GIL Vicente — winless run (away)6
GIL Vicente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AVS Win (1)9%
Draw (X)20%
GIL Vicente Win (2)71%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 65%
24% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 35%
76% -1.5 65%
88% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

AVS vs GIL Vicente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AVS — scored (home)0.88
AVS — conceded (home)1.59
GIL Vicente — scored (away)1.12
GIL Vicente — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals2.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes33%
No67%

Rate per Team

AVS — BTTS matches (home)47%
GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.574%
Under 5.526%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

AVS (home)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.5

GIL Vicente (away)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AVS
13 9 14 10 8
GIL Vicente
13 7 16 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

AVS (home)

For2.7

GIL Vicente (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

AVS — total shots (home)11.4
GIL Vicente — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

AVS — on target (home)3.6
GIL Vicente — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AVS

Inside the box6
Outside the box5.03

GIL Vicente

Inside the box7.88
Outside the box5.91

Player Shots AVS

Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%
Pedro Lima
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
Ó. Perea
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Duarte
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots GIL Vicente

Murilo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target22%
Pablo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target15%
Gustavo Varela
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Luís Esteves
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target9%
Santi García
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AVS xG (home)0.94
GIL Vicente xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

39.21% Possession 49.79%

Team Comparison AVS vs GIL Vicente

72.74% Pass accuracy 80.24%
298.79 Passes per match 374.15
-0.11 Goals prevented -0.13
13.76 Fouls committed 13.53
3.44 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.52 Offsides 1.44
17.09 Tackles per match 14.56

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AVS vs GIL Vicente prediction analysis

Review AVS vs GIL Vicente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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