Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AVS vs Guimaraes

AVS vs Guimaraes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-08-25 19:30
AVS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Guimaraes
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
29%
2
43%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

AVS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate44%

Guimaraes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

AVS
DWLWL
Guimaraes
LLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 65%
17% +1.5 41%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
44% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

AVS averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Guimaraes averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
29%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 AVS 1 - 1 Guimaraes Draw
Dec 2025 AVS(A) 1 - 0 Guimaraes Home
Nov 2025 AVS(A) 0 - 4 Guimaraes Away
Feb 2025 AVS(A) 0 - 2 Guimaraes Away
Aug 2024 AVS 1 - 0 Guimaraes Home

In the last 5 meetings, AVS won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

AVS — unbeaten run (home)1
AVS — scoring streak (home)1
Guimaraes — winless run (away)1
Guimaraes — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AVS Win (1)29%
Draw (X)29%
Guimaraes Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 65%
17% +1.5 41%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 35%
83% -1.5 59%
94% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

AVS vs Guimaraes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AVS — scored (home)0.89
AVS — conceded (home)1.44
Guimaraes — scored (away)1.06
Guimaraes — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

AVS — BTTS matches (home)44%
Guimaraes — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)45.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

AVS (home)

Corners for3.1
Corners against4.9

Guimaraes (away)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AVS
9 7 6 10 14
Guimaraes
10 10 9 19 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

AVS (home)

For3.3

Guimaraes (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

AVS — total shots (home)10.8
Guimaraes — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

AVS — on target (home)3.2
Guimaraes — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Guimaraes

Inside the box8.26
Outside the box5

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Guimaraes

Ricardo Mangas
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Vando Félix
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
T. Borevković
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
Gustavo
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Nuno Santos
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AVS xG (home)0.89
Guimaraes xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

42.81% Possession 56.91%

Team Comparison AVS vs Guimaraes

76.78% Pass accuracy 83.32%
347.36 Passes per match 461.03
-0.09 Goals prevented -0.08
14.08 Fouls committed 14.59
3.65 Goalkeeper saves 1.94
1.5 Offsides 1.62
16.25 Tackles per match 15.53

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AVS vs Guimaraes prediction analysis

Review AVS vs Guimaraes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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