Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AVS vs Rio Ave

AVS vs Rio Ave prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primeira Liga 2025-12-06 18:00
AVS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Rio Ave
Away

Prediction Summary

1
25%
X
24%
2
51%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

AVS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

Rio Ave (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

AVS
DWWDD
Rio Ave
DLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 65%
24% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

AVS averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Rio Ave averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
25%
Draw
24%
Away Win
51%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 AVS(A) 2 - 2 Rio Ave Draw
Dec 2025 AVS 1 - 2 Rio Ave Away
Feb 2025 AVS(A) 1 - 1 Rio Ave Draw
Sep 2024 AVS 1 - 0 Rio Ave Home

In the last 4 meetings, AVS won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

AVS — unbeaten run (home)3
AVS — scoring streak (home)3
Rio Ave — winless run (away)2
Rio Ave — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AVS Win (1)25%
Draw (X)24%
Rio Ave Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 65%
24% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 35%
76% -1.5 65%
88% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

AVS vs Rio Ave — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AVS — scored (home)0.88
AVS — conceded (home)1.59
Rio Ave — scored (away)1.06
Rio Ave — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

AVS — BTTS matches (home)47%
Rio Ave — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.580%
Under 5.520%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

AVS (home)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.5

Rio Ave (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against7.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AVS
13 9 14 10 8
Rio Ave
13 8 16 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

AVS (home)

For2.7

Rio Ave (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

AVS — total shots (home)11.4
Rio Ave — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

AVS — on target (home)3.6
Rio Ave — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AVS

Inside the box6
Outside the box5.03

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box4

Player Shots AVS

Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%
Pedro Lima
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
Ó. Perea
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Duarte
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Rio Ave

Clayton
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target47%
J. Blesa
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target31%
André Luiz
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Vrousai
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target13%
Tamble Monteiro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AVS xG (home)0.94
Rio Ave xG (away)1.04

Average Possession

39.21% Possession 47.03%

Team Comparison AVS vs Rio Ave

72.74% Pass accuracy 81.68%
298.79 Passes per match 386.65
-0.11 Goals prevented 0.13
13.76 Fouls committed 12.88
3.44 Goalkeeper saves 3.38
1.52 Offsides 1.57
17.09 Tackles per match 15.59

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AVS vs Rio Ave prediction analysis

Review AVS vs Rio Ave with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top