Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AVS vs Santa Clara

AVS vs Santa Clara prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-02-08 15:30
AVS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Santa Clara
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
29%
2
41%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

AVS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate44%

Santa Clara (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

AVS
DWLWL
Santa Clara
WWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 65%
17% +1.5 29%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
44% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

AVS averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Santa Clara averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
29%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 AVS 0 - 1 Santa Clara Away
Oct 2025 AVS(A) 0 - 2 Santa Clara Away
Feb 2025 AVS 1 - 2 Santa Clara Away
Aug 2024 AVS(A) 1 - 2 Santa Clara Away
Mar 2024 AVS 1 - 2 Santa Clara Away

In the last 5 meetings, AVS won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

AVS — unbeaten run (home)1
AVS — scoring streak (home)1
Santa Clara — winless run (away)0
Santa Clara — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AVS Win (1)31%
Draw (X)29%
Santa Clara Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 65%
17% +1.5 29%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 35%
83% -1.5 71%
94% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

AVS vs Santa Clara — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AVS — scored (home)0.89
AVS — conceded (home)1.44
Santa Clara — scored (away)1.06
Santa Clara — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

AVS — BTTS matches (home)44%
Santa Clara — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)45.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.580%
Under 5.520%
Over 6.572%
Under 6.528%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.523%
Under 9.577%
Over 10.515%
Under 10.585%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

AVS (home)

Corners for3.1
Corners against4.9

Santa Clara (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AVS
9 7 6 10 14
Santa Clara
10 8 8 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

AVS (home)

For3.3

Santa Clara (away)

For3.6

Shots per Game

AVS — total shots (home)10.8
Santa Clara — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

AVS — on target (home)3.2
Santa Clara — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Santa Clara

Inside the box6.97
Outside the box4.21

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Santa Clara

Wendel
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Serginho
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target3%
Ricardinho
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
Gabriel Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target12%
Vinícius Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AVS xG (home)0.89
Santa Clara xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

42.81% Possession 44.47%

Team Comparison AVS vs Santa Clara

76.78% Pass accuracy 74.5%
347.36 Passes per match 340
-0.09 Goals prevented 0.13
14.08 Fouls committed 16.62
3.65 Goalkeeper saves 2.48
1.5 Offsides 1.97
16.25 Tackles per match 16.29

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AVS vs Santa Clara prediction analysis

Review AVS vs Santa Clara with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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