Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AVS vs Sporting CP

AVS vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-02-23 18:00
AVS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-2
Sporting CP
Away

Prediction Summary

1
14%
X
19%
2
67%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

AVS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate44%

Sporting CP (Away)

Goals scored / match2.82
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate65%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

AVS
DWLWL
Sporting CP
WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 94%
17% +1.5 71%
6% +2.5 65%
0% +3.5 29%
0% +4.5 18%
44% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

AVS averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 2.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
14%
Draw
19%
Away Win
67%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 AVS 1 - 1 Sporting CP Draw
Feb 2026 AVS(A) 2 - 3 Sporting CP Away
Dec 2025 AVS(A) 0 - 6 Sporting CP Away
Feb 2025 AVS 2 - 2 Sporting CP Draw
Sep 2024 AVS(A) 0 - 3 Sporting CP Away

In the last 5 meetings, AVS won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

AVS — unbeaten run (home)1
AVS — scoring streak (home)1
Sporting CP — winless run (away)1
Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AVS Win (1)14%
Draw (X)19%
Sporting CP Win (2)67%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 94%
17% +1.5 71%
6% +2.5 65%
0% +3.5 29%
0% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 6%
83% -1.5 29%
94% -2.5 35%
100% -3.5 71%
100% -4.5 82%

AVS vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AVS — scored (home)0.89
AVS — conceded (home)1.44
Sporting CP — scored (away)2.82
Sporting CP — conceded (away)0.82
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

AVS — BTTS matches (home)44%
Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)45.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.572%
Under 6.528%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.546%
Under 8.554%
Over 9.526%
Under 9.574%
Over 10.518%
Under 10.582%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

AVS (home)

Corners for3.1
Corners against4.9

Sporting CP (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AVS
9 7 6 10 14
Sporting CP
6 8 11 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

AVS (home)

For3.3

Sporting CP (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

AVS — total shots (home)10.8
Sporting CP — total shots (away)17.8

Shots on Target

AVS — on target (home)3.2
Sporting CP — on target (away)6.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Sporting CP

Inside the box12.56
Outside the box5.79

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Sporting CP

V. Gyökeres
Shots on Target/Game2.8
+0.5 On Target88%
+1.5 On Target70%
C. Harder
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
Trincão
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Hjulmand
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target4%
Pote
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AVS xG (home)0.89
Sporting CP xG (away)2.14

Average Possession

42.81% Possession 60.44%

Team Comparison AVS vs Sporting CP

76.78% Pass accuracy 87.03%
347.36 Passes per match 520.47
-0.09 Goals prevented -0.26
14.08 Fouls committed 11.5
3.65 Goalkeeper saves 1.41
1.5 Offsides 1.16
16.25 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AVS vs Sporting CP prediction analysis

Review AVS vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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