Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AVS vs Vizela

AVS vs Vizela prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-05-24 18:45
AVS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Vizela
Away

Prediction Summary

1
64%
X
22%
2
15%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

AVS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate44%

Vizela (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

AVS
DWLWL
Vizela
DLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 67%
17% +1.5 22%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
44% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

AVS averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Vizela averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
64%
Draw
22%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 3

Jun 2025 AVS(A) 2 - 2 Vizela Draw
May 2025 AVS 3 - 0 Vizela Home
Jul 2023 AVS 1 - 0 Vizela Home

In the last 3 meetings, AVS won 2, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

AVS — unbeaten run (home)1
AVS — scoring streak (home)1
Vizela — winless run (away)8
Vizela — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AVS Win (1)64%
Draw (X)22%
Vizela Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 67%
17% +1.5 22%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 33%
83% -1.5 78%
94% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

AVS vs Vizela — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AVS — scored (home)0.89
AVS — conceded (home)1.44
Vizela — scored (away)0.89
Vizela — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals2.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

AVS — BTTS matches (home)44%
Vizela — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.533%
Under 9.567%
Over 10.525%
Under 10.575%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

AVS (home)

Corners for3.1
Corners against4.9

Vizela (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AVS
9 7 6 10 14
Vizela
9 11 11 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

AVS (home)

For3.3

Vizela (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

AVS — total shots (home)10.8
Vizela — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

AVS — on target (home)3.2
Vizela — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Vizela

Inside the box7.41
Outside the box4.97

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Vizela

A. Méndez
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Essende
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target32%
S. Petrov
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target27%
Bruno Wilson
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Lokilo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AVS xG (home)0.89
Vizela xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

42.81% Possession 49.62%

Team Comparison AVS vs Vizela

76.78% Pass accuracy 80.06%
347.36 Passes per match 404.09
-0.09 Goals prevented -0.81
14.08 Fouls committed 14.79
3.65 Goalkeeper saves 2.85
1.5 Offsides 1.74
16.25 Tackles per match 14.89

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AVS vs Vizela prediction analysis

Review AVS vs Vizela with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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