What markets are included in the AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag

AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2026-08-08 19:00

AZ Alkmaar

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

70%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

ADO Den Haag

Away

Prediction Summary

62%

19%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Yes

65%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

AZ Alkmaar (Home)

Goals scored / match2.29

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate76%

ADO Den Haag (Away)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match0

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

AZ Alkmaar

DDDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 0%

71% +1.5 0%

41% +2.5 0%

18% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

76% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is High.

AZ Alkmaar averages 2.29 goals scored at home, while ADO Den Haag averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength

70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

62%

Draw

19%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Yes

65%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2021 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 ADO Den Haag Home

Oct 2020 AZ Alkmaar(A) 2 - 2 ADO Den Haag Draw

Mar 2020 AZ Alkmaar 4 - 0 ADO Den Haag Home

Sep 2019 AZ Alkmaar(A) 1 - 0 ADO Den Haag Home

In the last 4 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

AZ Alkmaar — unbeaten run (home)7

AZ Alkmaar — scoring streak (home)17

1X2 Probability model

AZ Alkmaar Win (1)62%

Draw (X)19%

ADO Den Haag Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 0%

71% +1.5 0%

41% +2.5 0%

18% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 100%

29% -1.5 100%

59% -2.5 100%

82% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AZ Alkmaar — scored (home)2.29

AZ Alkmaar — conceded (home)1.53

ADO Den Haag — scored (away)0

ADO Den Haag — conceded (away)0

Model expected combined goals3.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%

No35%

Rate per Team

AZ Alkmaar — BTTS matches (home)76%

ADO Den Haag — BTTS matches (away)0%

Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.564%

Under 8.536%

Over 9.554%

Under 9.546%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

AZ Alkmaar (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against4.4

ADO Den Haag (away)

Corners forâ€”

Corners againstâ€”

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AZ Alkmaar

12 15 7 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.547%

Under 0.553%

Over 1.541%

Under 1.559%

Over 2.536%

Under 2.564%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

AZ Alkmaar (home)

For1.6

ADO Den Haag (away)

Forâ€”

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%

Under 19.524%

Over 22.564%

Under 22.536%

Over 25.551%

Under 25.549%

Expected total shots26.81

AZ Alkmaar

Shots Over 9.583%

Shots Over 11.571%

Shots Over 13.558%

Expected shots15.38

On Target Over 3.576%

On Target Over 4.562%

On Target Over 5.549%

Expected on target5.78

ADO Den Haag

Shots Over 9.562%

Shots Over 11.545%

Shots Over 13.531%

Expected shots11.43

On Target Over 3.553%

On Target Over 4.537%

On Target Over 5.524%

Expected on target4.00

Shots per Game

AZ Alkmaar — total shots (home)16.2

ADO Den Haag — total shots (away)â€”

Shots on Target

AZ Alkmaar — on target (home)6.4

ADO Den Haag — on target (away)â€”

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AZ Alkmaar

Inside the box10.35

Outside the box5.41

ADO Den Haag

Inside the box-

Outside the box-

Player Shots AZ Alkmaar

T. Parrott

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target43%

S. Mijnans

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target33%

M. Meerdink

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Weslley Patati

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

I. Sadiq

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots ADO Den Haag

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AZ Alkmaar xG (home)1.88

ADO Den Haag xG (away)-

Average Possession

53.18% Possession -%

Team Comparison AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag

81.85% Pass accuracy 0%

457.76 Passes per match -

-0.09 Goals prevented -

10.21 Fouls committed -

3.06 Goalkeeper saves -

1.22 Offsides -

17.85 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag prediction and preview

Preview AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights