What markets are included in the AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray

AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

UEFA Europa League 2025-02-13 20:00

AZ Alkmaar

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

60%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Galatasaray

Away

Prediction Summary

52%

23%

25%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

AZ Alkmaar (Home)

Goals scored / match2.17

Goals conceded / match0.83

Over 2.5 rate50%

BTTS rate67%

Galatasaray (Away)

Goals scored / match1.4

Goals conceded / match2.2

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

AZ Alkmaar

LWDWL

Galatasaray

DLLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%

50% +1.5 40%

50% +2.5 0%

17% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

67% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

AZ Alkmaar averages 2.17 goals scored at home, while Galatasaray averages 1.4 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

52%

Draw

23%

Away Win

25%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

60%

Head-to-Head last 3

Feb 2025 AZ Alkmaar(A) 2 - 2 Galatasaray Draw

Feb 2025 AZ Alkmaar 4 - 1 Galatasaray Home

Nov 2024 AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Galatasaray Draw

In the last 3 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 1, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

AZ Alkmaar — unbeaten run (home)6

AZ Alkmaar — scoring streak (home)6

Galatasaray — winless run (away)5

Galatasaray — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AZ Alkmaar Win (1)52%

Draw (X)23%

Galatasaray Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%

50% +1.5 40%

50% +2.5 0%

17% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%

50% -1.5 60%

50% -2.5 100%

83% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AZ Alkmaar — scored (home)2.17

AZ Alkmaar — conceded (home)0.83

Galatasaray — scored (away)1.4

Galatasaray — conceded (away)2.2

Model expected combined goals3.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%

No40%

Rate per Team

AZ Alkmaar — BTTS matches (home)67%

Galatasaray — BTTS matches (away)100%

Combined (simple average)83.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.5100%

Under 6.50%

Over 7.584%

Under 7.516%

Over 8.539%

Under 8.561%

Over 9.520%

Under 9.580%

Over 10.510%

Under 10.590%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

AZ Alkmaar (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against2.0

Galatasaray (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AZ Alkmaar

10 8 13 9 7

Galatasaray

10 11 12 8 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.5100%

Under 2.50%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

AZ Alkmaar (home)

For2.7

Galatasaray (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

AZ Alkmaar — total shots (home)12.5

Galatasaray — total shots (away)16.0

Shots on Target

AZ Alkmaar — on target (home)5.3

Galatasaray — on target (away)5.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AZ Alkmaar

Inside the box8.08

Outside the box4.75

Galatasaray

Inside the box14.2

Outside the box5.8

Player Shots AZ Alkmaar

R. van Bommel

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

K. Belić

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Mijnans

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target20%

E. Poku

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target30%

D. Kasius

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Galatasaray

V. Osimhen

Shots on Target/Game3.4

+0.5 On Target100%

+1.5 On Target100%

M. Icardi

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

Y. Demir

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target20%

D. Mertens

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target10%

Y. Akgün

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target63%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AZ Alkmaar xG (home)1.83

Galatasaray xG (away)2.17

Average Possession

46.42% Possession 58.1%

Team Comparison AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray

79.42% Pass accuracy 83.6%

424.67 Passes per match 518.9

-0.3 Goals prevented 0.02

14.67 Fouls committed 10.9

2.67 Goalkeeper saves 3.3

2.17 Offsides 2.4

18.08 Tackles per match 19.6

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray prediction analysis

Review AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights