Prediction Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Genk
AZ Alkmaar vs Genk prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
AZ Alkmaar
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
73%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Genk
Away
Prediction Summary
1
58%
X
19%
2
23%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
69%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
AZ Alkmaar (Home)
Goals scored / match3.33
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate100%
BTTS rate67%
Genk (Away)
Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match2.2
Over 2.5 rate40%
BTTS rate60%
Team Form last 5 matches
AZ Alkmaar
WWDD
Genk
LLWLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
60%
100%
+1.5
40%
100%
+2.5
40%
33%
+3.5
40%
0%
+4.5
20%
67%
BTTS
60%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 73%. Model confidence is High.
AZ Alkmaar averages 3.33 goals scored at home, while Genk averages 2 goals scored away.
Model Strength
73%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
58%
Draw
19%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
69%
Head-to-Head last 1
Jul 2026
AZ Alkmaar
4 - 0
Genk
Home
In the last 1 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
AZ Alkmaar — unbeaten run (home)3
AZ Alkmaar — scoring streak (home)3
Genk — winless run (away)2
Genk — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
AZ Alkmaar Win (1)58%
Draw (X)19%
Genk Win (2)23%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
60%
100%
+1.5
40%
100%
+2.5
40%
33%
+3.5
40%
0%
+4.5
20%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
40%
0%
-1.5
60%
0%
-2.5
60%
67%
-3.5
60%
100%
-4.5
80%
AZ Alkmaar vs Genk — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
AZ Alkmaar — scored (home)3.33
AZ Alkmaar — conceded (home)1.67
Genk — scored (away)2
Genk — conceded (away)2.2
Model expected combined goals3.82
Both Teams To Score
Yes69%
No31%
Rate per Team
AZ Alkmaar — BTTS matches (home)67%
Genk — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)63.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
AZ Alkmaar (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Genk (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
AZ Alkmaar (home)
For—
Genk (away)
For—
Shots per Game
AZ Alkmaar — total shots (home)—
Genk — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
AZ Alkmaar — on target (home)—
Genk — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
AZ Alkmaar
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Genk
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison AZ Alkmaar vs Genk
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
AZ Alkmaar vs Genk prediction analysis
Review AZ Alkmaar vs Genk with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Friendlies Clubs.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Friendlies Clubs
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights