What markets are included in the AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg

AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-09-25 16:45

AZ Alkmaar

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

IF Elfsborg

Away

Prediction Summary

38%

25%

37%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

AZ Alkmaar (Home)

Goals scored / match2.17

Goals conceded / match0.83

Over 2.5 rate50%

BTTS rate67%

IF Elfsborg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

AZ Alkmaar

LWDWL

IF Elfsborg

LWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 75%

50% +1.5 38%

50% +2.5 25%

17% +3.5 13%

0% +4.5 13%

67% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

AZ Alkmaar averages 2.17 goals scored at home, while IF Elfsborg averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

38%

Draw

25%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 1

Sep 2024 AZ Alkmaar 3 - 2 IF Elfsborg Home

In the last 1 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

AZ Alkmaar — unbeaten run (home)6

AZ Alkmaar — scoring streak (home)6

IF Elfsborg — winless run (away)4

IF Elfsborg — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AZ Alkmaar Win (1)38%

Draw (X)25%

IF Elfsborg Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 75%

50% +1.5 38%

50% +2.5 25%

17% +3.5 13%

0% +4.5 13%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 25%

50% -1.5 62%

50% -2.5 75%

83% -3.5 87%

100% -4.5 87%

AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AZ Alkmaar — scored (home)2.17

AZ Alkmaar — conceded (home)0.83

IF Elfsborg — scored (away)1.63

IF Elfsborg — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

AZ Alkmaar — BTTS matches (home)67%

IF Elfsborg — BTTS matches (away)50%

Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.582%

Under 4.518%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.559%

Under 7.541%

Over 8.534%

Under 8.566%

Over 9.519%

Under 9.581%

Over 10.57%

Under 10.593%

Expected total corners (blended average)7.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

AZ Alkmaar (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against2.0

IF Elfsborg (away)

Corners for2.8

Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AZ Alkmaar

10 8 13 9 7

IF Elfsborg

9 10 6 13 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

AZ Alkmaar (home)

For2.7

IF Elfsborg (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

AZ Alkmaar — total shots (home)12.5

IF Elfsborg — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

AZ Alkmaar — on target (home)5.3

IF Elfsborg — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AZ Alkmaar

Inside the box8.08

Outside the box4.75

IF Elfsborg

Inside the box4.5

Outside the box2.25

Player Shots AZ Alkmaar

R. van Bommel

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

K. Belić

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Mijnans

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target20%

E. Poku

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target30%

D. Kasius

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots IF Elfsborg

E. Holten

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target17%

M. Baidoo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Qasem

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target0%

G. Henriksson

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

T. Ouma

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AZ Alkmaar xG (home)1.83

IF Elfsborg xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

46.42% Possession 33.8%

Team Comparison AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg

79.42% Pass accuracy 70.38%

424.67 Passes per match 286

-0.3 Goals prevented -0.14

14.67 Fouls committed 12.6

2.67 Goalkeeper saves 3.8

2.17 Offsides 2.1

18.08 Tackles per match 18.25

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg prediction analysis

Review AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights