What markets are included in the AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht

AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-10-26 15:45

AZ Alkmaar

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

70%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

Utrecht

Away

Prediction Summary

52%

21%

27%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Yes

68%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

AZ Alkmaar (Home)

Goals scored / match2.29

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate76%

Utrecht (Away)

Goals scored / match1.33

Goals conceded / match1.61

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

AZ Alkmaar

DDDDW

Utrecht

DWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 78%

71% +1.5 44%

41% +2.5 11%

18% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

76% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is High.

AZ Alkmaar averages 2.29 goals scored at home, while Utrecht averages 1.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength

70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

52%

Draw

21%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Yes

68%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 AZ Alkmaar(A) 0 - 2 Utrecht Away

Oct 2025 AZ Alkmaar 4 - 1 Utrecht Home

Jan 2025 AZ Alkmaar(A) 0 - 0 Utrecht Draw

Sep 2024 AZ Alkmaar 1 - 2 Utrecht Away

May 2024 AZ Alkmaar 3 - 3 Utrecht Draw

In the last 5 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

AZ Alkmaar — unbeaten run (home)7

AZ Alkmaar — scoring streak (home)17

Utrecht — winless run (away)1

Utrecht — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AZ Alkmaar Win (1)52%

Draw (X)21%

Utrecht Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 78%

71% +1.5 44%

41% +2.5 11%

18% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 22%

29% -1.5 56%

59% -2.5 89%

82% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AZ Alkmaar — scored (home)2.29

AZ Alkmaar — conceded (home)1.53

Utrecht — scored (away)1.33

Utrecht — conceded (away)1.61

Model expected combined goals3.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%

No32%

Rate per Team

AZ Alkmaar — BTTS matches (home)76%

Utrecht — BTTS matches (away)67%

Combined (simple average)71.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.586%

Under 6.514%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.560%

Under 9.540%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

AZ Alkmaar (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against4.4

Utrecht (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AZ Alkmaar

12 15 7 10 13

Utrecht

12 11 7 15 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.580%

Under 1.520%

Over 2.572%

Under 2.528%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

AZ Alkmaar (home)

For1.6

Utrecht (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

AZ Alkmaar — total shots (home)16.2

Utrecht — total shots (away)13.2

Shots on Target

AZ Alkmaar — on target (home)6.4

Utrecht — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AZ Alkmaar

Inside the box10.35

Outside the box5.41

Utrecht

Inside the box10.39

Outside the box4.89

Player Shots AZ Alkmaar

T. Parrott

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target43%

S. Mijnans

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target33%

M. Meerdink

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Weslley Patati

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

I. Sadiq

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Utrecht

Ángel Alarcón

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

V. Jensen

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Zechiël

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Y. Cathline

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target14%

A. Stepanov

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AZ Alkmaar xG (home)1.88

Utrecht xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

53.18% Possession 46.53%

Team Comparison AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht

81.85% Pass accuracy 78.69%

457.76 Passes per match 398.92

-0.09 Goals prevented -0.15

10.21 Fouls committed 10.86

3.06 Goalkeeper saves 3.47

1.22 Offsides 1.25

17.85 Tackles per match 16.39

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht prediction analysis

Review AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights