What markets are included in the Bahia vs Flamengo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Bahia vs Flamengo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Bahia vs Flamengo

Bahia vs Flamengo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-05 21:30

Bahia

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Flamengo

Away

Prediction Summary

36%

28%

36%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Bahia (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate47%

Flamengo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bahia

LWDWL

Flamengo

DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 79%

53% +1.5 58%

16% +2.5 21%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

47% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bahia averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Flamengo averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

36%

Draw

28%

Away Win

36%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Bahia 1 - 0 Flamengo Home

May 2025 Bahia(A) 0 - 1 Flamengo Away

Oct 2024 Bahia 0 - 2 Flamengo Away

Sep 2024 Bahia(A) 0 - 1 Flamengo Away

Aug 2024 Bahia 0 - 1 Flamengo Away

In the last 5 meetings, Bahia won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Bahia — unbeaten run (home)2

Bahia — scoring streak (home)19

Flamengo — winless run (away)3

Flamengo — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bahia Win (1)36%

Draw (X)28%

Flamengo Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 79%

53% +1.5 58%

16% +2.5 21%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 21%

47% -1.5 42%

84% -2.5 79%

95% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Bahia vs Flamengo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bahia — scored (home)1.74

Bahia — conceded (home)0.74

Flamengo — scored (away)1.68

Flamengo — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals2.39

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Bahia — BTTS matches (home)47%

Flamengo — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.579%

Under 5.521%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.545%

Under 8.555%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bahia (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against3.4

Flamengo (away)

Corners for5.7

Corners against3.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bahia

12 12 11 8 9

Flamengo

8 10 6 7 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Bahia (home)

For2.2

Flamengo (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Bahia — total shots (home)15.9

Flamengo — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Bahia — on target (home)5.6

Flamengo — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bahia

Inside the box8.42

Outside the box5.45

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92

Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Bahia

Willian José

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target18%

Erick Pulga

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. Rodríguez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target22%

Ademir

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target17%

Rodrigo Nestor

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target38%

G. de Arrascaeta

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target12%

Bruno Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Samuel Lino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target10%

Luiz Araújo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bahia xG (home)1.37

Flamengo xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

55.26% Possession 62.08%

Team Comparison Bahia vs Flamengo

85.92% Pass accuracy 88.34%

468.39 Passes per match 562.39

-0.11 Goals prevented -0.02

12.32 Fouls committed 13.42

2.92 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

1.25 Offsides 1.24

15.87 Tackles per match 15.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bahia vs Flamengo prediction analysis

Review Bahia vs Flamengo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights