Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bahia vs Juventude

Bahia vs Juventude prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2025-07-27 21:30
Bahia
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Juventude
Away

Prediction Summary

1
82%
X
13%
2
5%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS No
67%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Bahia (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Juventude (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match2.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bahia
LWDWL
Juventude
DLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 16%
16% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is High.

Bahia averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Juventude averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
82%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
82%
Draw
13%
Away Win
5%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
33%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Bahia(A) 1 - 1 Juventude Draw
Jul 2025 Bahia 3 - 0 Juventude Home
Nov 2024 Bahia(A) 1 - 2 Juventude Away
Jul 2024 Bahia 2 - 0 Juventude Home
Oct 2021 Bahia(A) 0 - 0 Juventude Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Bahia won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bahia — unbeaten run (home)2
Bahia — scoring streak (home)19
Juventude — winless run (away)2
Juventude — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bahia Win (1)82%
Draw (X)13%
Juventude Win (2)5%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 16%
16% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 47%
47% -1.5 84%
84% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Bahia vs Juventude — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bahia — scored (home)1.74
Bahia — conceded (home)0.74
Juventude — scored (away)0.74
Juventude — conceded (away)2.26
Model expected combined goals2.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes33%
No67%

Rate per Team

Bahia — BTTS matches (home)47%
Juventude — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bahia (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against3.4

Juventude (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bahia
12 12 11 8 9
Juventude
12 11 11 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Bahia (home)

For2.2

Juventude (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Bahia — total shots (home)15.9
Juventude — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Bahia — on target (home)5.6
Juventude — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bahia

Inside the box8.42
Outside the box5.45

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Bahia

Willian José
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target18%
Erick Pulga
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target22%
Ademir
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target17%
Rodrigo Nestor
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bahia xG (home)1.37
Juventude xG (away)0.85

Average Possession

55.26% Possession 42.82%

Team Comparison Bahia vs Juventude

85.92% Pass accuracy 80.89%
468.39 Passes per match 339
-0.11 Goals prevented -0.18
12.32 Fouls committed 15.89
2.92 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
1.25 Offsides 1.86
15.87 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bahia vs Juventude prediction analysis

Review Bahia vs Juventude with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top