Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bahia vs RB Bragantino

Bahia vs RB Bragantino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-02 19:00
Bahia
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
RB Bragantino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
24%
2
18%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bahia (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

RB Bragantino (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bahia
LWDWL
RB Bragantino
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 16%
16% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bahia averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while RB Bragantino averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
24%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Bahia 2 - 1 RB Bragantino Home
Jun 2025 Bahia(A) 3 - 0 RB Bragantino Home
Sep 2024 Bahia(A) 1 - 2 RB Bragantino Away
May 2024 Bahia 1 - 0 RB Bragantino Home
Aug 2023 Bahia 4 - 0 RB Bragantino Home

In the last 5 meetings, Bahia won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bahia — unbeaten run (home)2
Bahia — scoring streak (home)19
RB Bragantino — winless run (away)2
RB Bragantino — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bahia Win (1)58%
Draw (X)24%
RB Bragantino Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 16%
16% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 21%
47% -1.5 84%
84% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Bahia vs RB Bragantino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bahia — scored (home)1.74
Bahia — conceded (home)0.74
RB Bragantino — scored (away)0.95
RB Bragantino — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Bahia — BTTS matches (home)47%
RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bahia (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against3.4

RB Bragantino (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bahia
12 12 11 8 9
RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Bahia (home)

For2.2

RB Bragantino (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Bahia — total shots (home)15.9
RB Bragantino — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Bahia — on target (home)5.6
RB Bragantino — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bahia

Inside the box8.42
Outside the box5.45

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Bahia

Willian José
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target18%
Erick Pulga
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target22%
Ademir
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target17%
Rodrigo Nestor
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bahia xG (home)1.37
RB Bragantino xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

55.26% Possession 47.82%

Team Comparison Bahia vs RB Bragantino

85.92% Pass accuracy 81.68%
468.39 Passes per match 390.63
-0.11 Goals prevented 0.01
12.32 Fouls committed 14.11
2.92 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
1.25 Offsides 1.46
15.87 Tackles per match 15.47

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bahia vs RB Bragantino prediction analysis

Review Bahia vs RB Bragantino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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